Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pogon Szczecin welcome Korona Kielce to Florian-Krygier-Stadion for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Sunday 11 October (16:30 WAT). In the table, Pogon Szczecin are 4th, among the top four, on 24 points after 13 matches; Korona Kielce are 11th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Pogon Szczecin, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Udinese, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Korona Kielce, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Raków Częstochowa, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Korona Kielce, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Pogon Szczecin.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Mar 2026) it ended Pogon Szczecin 2–1 Korona Kielce.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogon Szczecin 1.3 xG, Korona Kielce 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogon Szczecin 43%, draw 23%, Korona Kielce 34%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Korona Kielce. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogon Szczecin43%fair 2.30 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Korona Kielce34%fair 2.94 · @3.00
2.35Expected goals
1.27Pogon Szczecin xG
1.08Korona Kielce xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Pogon Szczecin 1.3 – 1.1 Korona Kielce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
On our numbers Pogon Szczecin have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Korona Kielce 34%.
How many goals will there be in Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
Our predicted score is Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Korona Kielce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Florian-Krygier-Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
