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Radomiak Radom v Motor Lublin: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Stadion Radomiaka Radom
2–3
FT
Radomiak Radom 39%Draw 21%Motor Lublin 39% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.42
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultMotor Lublin to win ✓39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.94

Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Motor Lublin travel to face Radomiak Radom on Monday 12 October in the Ekstraklasa, with Stadion Radomiaka Radom the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Radomiak Radom are 14th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Motor Lublin are 10th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Radomiak Radom, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 7–2 win over Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Motor Lublin, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gornik Zabrze, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Radomiak Radom, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Motor Lublin.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Radomiak Radom 1–1 Motor Lublin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Radomiak Radom 1.4 xG, Motor Lublin 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Radomiak Radom 39%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Radomiak Radom 1–1 Motor Lublin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Radomiak Radom39%fair 2.55 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
Motor Lublin39%fair 2.54 · @2.62
2.83Expected goals
1.41Radomiak Radom xG
1.42Motor Lublin xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–28%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: Radomiak Radom 1.4 – 1.4 Motor Lublin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMotor Lublin to win ✓39%2.542.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.44
Draw no betMotor Lublin (draw no bet) ✓50%1.99–
Asian handicapRadomiak Radom +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
First team to scoreMotor Lublin to score first ✗47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Motor Lublin / FT Motor Lublin ✗22%4.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.94–

Recent results

Radomiak Radom – last 6

WLLDWW
2 Octvs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki7–2W
20 Sep@ Lech Poznan1–5L
14 Sepvs Piast Gliwice0–2L
5 Sep@ Widzew Łódź0–0D
1 Sep@ Korona Kielce II1–0W
29 Augvs Cracovia Krakow2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Motor Lublin – last 6

DLLWLD
19 Sepvs Gornik Zabrze0–0D
11 Sep@ Raków Częstochowa1–2L
5 Sepvs Legia Warszawa2–3L
1 Sepvs Legia Warszawa3–0W
29 Augvs Piast Gliwice0–2L
22 Aug@ Korona Kielce1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Apr 2026Radomiak Radom v Motor Lublin1–1
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?

On our numbers Radomiak Radom have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Motor Lublin 39%.

How many goals will there be in Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?

Our predicted score is Radomiak Radom 1–1 Motor Lublin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?

Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Radomiaka Radom.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.