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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Wisla Plock v Radomiak Radom: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Orlen Arena
1–0
FT
Wisla Plock 61%Draw 23%Radomiak Radom 16% Expected goals 2.01 – 0.94
84%
Betarazi pick

Wisla Plock or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.29Odds
1

Value bet: Wisla Plock to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultWisla Plock to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chanceWisla Plock or draw ✓84% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06

Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Radomiak Radom travel to face Wisla Plock on Monday 19 October in the Ekstraklasa, with Orlen Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Wisla Plock are 12th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Radomiak Radom are 14th (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Wisla Plock, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Wieczysta Kraków, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Radomiak Radom, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Motor Lublin, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Wisla Plock, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Radomiak Radom.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Wisla Plock 0–1 Radomiak Radom.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wisla Plock 2.0 xG, Radomiak Radom 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wisla Plock 61%, draw 23%, Radomiak Radom 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Wisla Plock or draw (84%) at 1.29.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.55.
  • Price worth noting: Wisla Plock to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Wisla Plock or draw (84%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wisla Plock 2–0 Radomiak Radom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wisla Plock61%fair 1.64 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.50
Radomiak Radom16%fair 6.20 · @3.50
2.95Expected goals
2.01Wisla Plock xG
0.94Radomiak Radom xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Wisla Plock 2.0 – 0.9 Radomiak Radom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWisla Plock to win ✓61%1.641.91 ▲
Double chanceWisla Plock or draw ✓84%1.191.29 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.55
Draw no betWisla Plock (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapWisla Plock -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.77–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
First team to scoreWisla Plock to score first ✓64%1.55–
Half-time resultWisla Plock ahead at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Wisla Plock / FT Wisla Plock ✓40%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.06–

Recent results

Wisla Plock – last 6

LWWWDW
9 Oct@ Wieczysta Kraków0–3L
2 Octvs Unia Skierniewice3–1W
20 Sep@ Zaglebie Lubin2–0W
13 Sepvs Cracovia Krakow3–1W
7 Sep@ Pogon Szczecin1–1D
2 Sep@ Luzino3–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Radomiak Radom – last 6

LWLLDW
12 Octvs Motor Lublin2–3L
2 Octvs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki7–2W
20 Sep@ Lech Poznan1–5L
14 Sepvs Piast Gliwice0–2L
5 Sep@ Widzew Łódź0–0D
1 Sep@ Korona Kielce II1–0W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Wisla Plock v Radomiak Radom0–1
Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom?

Our pick is Wisla Plock or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom?

On our numbers Wisla Plock have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Radomiak Radom 16%.

How many goals will there be in Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom?

Our predicted score is Wisla Plock 2–0 Radomiak Radom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom?

Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Orlen Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.