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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zaglebie Lubin v Jagiellonia: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Stadion Zagłębia Lubin
1–0
FT
Zaglebie Lubin 41%Draw 22%Jagiellonia 38% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.39
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultZaglebie Lubin to win ✓41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.71

Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Zaglebie Lubin welcome Jagiellonia to Stadion Zagłębia Lubin for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Sunday 18 October (13:45 WAT). In the table, Zaglebie Lubin are 6th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; Jagiellonia are 9th (upper half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Zaglebie Lubin, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cracovia Krakow, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Jagiellonia, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Ararat-Armenia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Zaglebie Lubin, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Jagiellonia.

Head to head

When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Jagiellonia 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zaglebie Lubin 1.5 xG, Jagiellonia 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zaglebie Lubin 41%, draw 22%, Jagiellonia 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zaglebie Lubin 1–1 Jagiellonia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zaglebie Lubin41%fair 2.47 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Jagiellonia38%fair 2.65 · @2.50
2.84Expected goals
1.45Zaglebie Lubin xG
1.39Jagiellonia xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%

From our goals model: Zaglebie Lubin 1.5 – 1.4 Jagiellonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZaglebie Lubin to win ✓41%2.472.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.60
Draw no betZaglebie Lubin (draw no bet) ✓52%1.93–
Asian handicapJagiellonia +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.85–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreZaglebie Lubin to score first ✓48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zaglebie Lubin / FT Zaglebie Lubin ✗23%4.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.71–

Recent results

Zaglebie Lubin – last 6

LWLWWD
10 Oct@ Cracovia Krakow1–3L
3 Octvs Miedz Legnica1–0W
20 Sepvs Wisla Plock0–2L
15 Sep@ Raków Częstochowa3–2W
12 Sepvs GKS Katowice2–1W
7 Sep@ Wieczysta Kraków1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Jagiellonia – last 6

WLLLLL
15 Octvs Ararat-Armenia3–1W
10 Octvs Gornik Zabrze1–3L
3 Octvs Polonia Warszawa1–2L
20 Sepvs Legia Warszawa1–3L
16 Sep@ Olympiakos Piraeus1–2L
11 Sep@ Wisla Krakow0–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026Jagiellonia v Zaglebie Lubin1–0
Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia?

On our numbers Zaglebie Lubin have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jagiellonia 38%.

How many goals will there be in Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia?

Our predicted score is Zaglebie Lubin 1–1 Jagiellonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia?

Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Zagłębia Lubin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.