Motor Lublin 56%Draw 21%Zaglebie Lubin 23%Expected goals 1.74 – 0.99
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
1
Value bet: Motor Lublin to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMotor Lublin to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Zaglebie Lubin travel to face Motor Lublin on Friday 23 October in the Ekstraklasa, with Motor Lublin Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Motor Lublin are 10th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Zaglebie Lubin are 6th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Motor Lublin, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Slask Wroclaw, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Zaglebie Lubin, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Jagiellonia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Motor Lublin 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Motor Lublin 1.7 xG, Zaglebie Lubin 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Motor Lublin 56%, draw 21%, Zaglebie Lubin 23%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Motor Lublin to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Motor Lublin 1–1 Zaglebie Lubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Motor Lublin56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.30
Zaglebie Lubin23%fair 4.35 · @3.60
2.73Expected goals
1.74Motor Lublin xG
0.99Zaglebie Lubin xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Motor Lublin 1.7 – 1.0 Zaglebie Lubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
On our numbers Motor Lublin have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zaglebie Lubin 23%.
How many goals will there be in Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Our predicted score is Motor Lublin 1–1 Zaglebie Lubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Motor Lublin Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
