Value bet: Legia Warszawa to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGornik Zabrze to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24
Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 30 October the Ekstraklasa brings Gornik Zabrze against Legia Warszawa at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Gornik Zabrze are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 14 matches; Legia Warszawa are 3rd (among the top four) with 24.
Current form
Gornik Zabrze, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Piast Gliwice, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Legia Warszawa, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Lech Poznan, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Legia Warszawa, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Gornik Zabrze.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gornik Zabrze 1.5 xG, Legia Warszawa 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gornik Zabrze 44%, draw 23%, Legia Warszawa 34%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Legia Warszawa to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gornik Zabrze 1–1 Legia Warszawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gornik Zabrze44%fair 2.30 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.20
Legia Warszawa34%fair 2.96 · @3.30
2.75Expected goals
1.48Gornik Zabrze xG
1.27Legia Warszawa xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Gornik Zabrze 1.5 – 1.3 Legia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gornik Zabrze to win✗
44%
2.30
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.75
Draw no bet
Gornik Zabrze (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Legia Warszawa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Gornik Zabrze to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gornik Zabrze / FT Gornik Zabrze✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
Gornik Zabrze – last 6
DDDWLD
27 Oct
@ Piast Gliwice
0–0
D
23 Oct
@ Widzew Łódź
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Piast Gliwice
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Jagiellonia
3–1
W
2 Oct
vs Odra Opole
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Motor Lublin
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Legia Warszawa – last 6
LDWWDW
25 Oct
vs Lech Poznan
1–2
L
17 Oct
@ Cracovia Krakow
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Wisla Krakow
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Jagiellonia
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Widzew Łódź
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Motor Lublin
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gornik Zabrze and Legia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa?
On our numbers Gornik Zabrze have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Legia Warszawa 34%.
How many goals will there be in Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Gornik Zabrze 1–1 Legia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa?
Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
