Lech Poznan 65%Draw 22%Wisla Krakow 13%Expected goals 2.23 – 0.94
87%
Betarazi pick
Lech Poznan or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Lech Poznan to win @ 1.73 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLech Poznan to win ✓65% · @1.73
Double chanceLech Poznan or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Lech Poznan v Wisla Krakow in the Ekstraklasa, played at Stadion Poznan. In the table, Lech Poznan are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 13 matches; Wisla Krakow are 5th (upper half) with 24.
Current form
Lech Poznan, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Siarka Tarnobrzeg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Wisla Krakow, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Raków Częstochowa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lech Poznan 2.2 xG, Wisla Krakow 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lech Poznan 65%, draw 22%, Wisla Krakow 13%.
Lower-risk option: Lech Poznan or draw (87%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Lech Poznan to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lech Poznan or draw (87%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lech Poznan 2–0 Wisla Krakow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lech Poznan65%fair 1.53 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.90
Wisla Krakow13%fair 7.62 · @4.00
3.17Expected goals
2.23Lech Poznan xG
0.94Wisla Krakow xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Lech Poznan 2.2 – 0.9 Wisla Krakow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lech Poznan to win✓
65%
1.53
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Lech Poznan or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.44
Draw no bet
Lech Poznan (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Lech Poznan -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Lech Poznan to score first
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Lech Poznan ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lech Poznan / FT Lech Poznan✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Lech Poznan – last 6
LWDWLW
28 Oct
@ Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0–1
L
25 Oct
@ Legia Warszawa
2–1
W
22 Oct
vs Sunderland
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Korona Kielce
6–1
W
15 Oct
vs Bayer Leverkusen
0–4
L
10 Oct
@ Slask Wroclaw
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Wisla Krakow – last 6
WDLWWW
24 Oct
vs Raków Częstochowa
2–1
W
16 Oct
@ Widzew Łódź
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Legia Warszawa
0–2
L
2 Oct
@ Piast Gliwice
4–3
W
18 Sep
vs Slask Wroclaw
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Jagiellonia
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lech Poznan and Wisla Krakow.
What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow?
Our pick is Lech Poznan or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow?
On our numbers Lech Poznan have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wisla Krakow 13%.
How many goals will there be in Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow?
Our predicted score is Lech Poznan 2–0 Wisla Krakow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow?
Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poznan.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
