Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Pogon Szczecin to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPogon Szczecin to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Raków Częstochowa welcome Pogon Szczecin to Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Monday 2 November (20:30 WAT). In the table, Raków Częstochowa are 16th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; Pogon Szczecin are 4th (among the top four) with 24. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Raków Częstochowa, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Motor Lublin, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Pogon Szczecin, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Radomiak Radom, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Pogon Szczecin, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Raków Częstochowa.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Pogon Szczecin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Raków Częstochowa 1.5 xG, Pogon Szczecin 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Raków Częstochowa 38%, draw 21%, Pogon Szczecin 41%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Pogon Szczecin to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Pogon Szczecin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Raków Częstochowa38%fair 2.65 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.50
Pogon Szczecin41%fair 2.43 · @2.75
3.13Expected goals
1.53Raków Częstochowa xG
1.60Pogon Szczecin xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Raków Częstochowa 1.5 – 1.6 Pogon Szczecin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin?
On our numbers Raków Częstochowa have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pogon Szczecin 41%.
How many goals will there be in Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our predicted score is Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Pogon Szczecin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin?
Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
