Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.37 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.37Odds
2
Value bet: Pogon Szczecin to win @ 3.14 – our chance 41% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPogon Szczecin to win ✗41% · @3.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.58
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.78
Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:15 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Widzew Łódź v Pogon Szczecin in the Ekstraklasa. In the table, Widzew Łódź are 13th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Pogon Szczecin are 4th (among the top four) with 24.
Current form
Widzew Łódź, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to GKS Katowice, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Pogon Szczecin, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Raków Częstochowa, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Pogon Szczecin, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Widzew Łódź.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Widzew Łódź 1.4 xG, Pogon Szczecin 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Widzew Łódź 39%, draw 21%, Pogon Szczecin 41%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.58.
Price worth noting: Pogon Szczecin to win @3.14 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Widzew Łódź 1–1 Pogon Szczecin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Widzew Łódź39%fair 2.59 · @2.03
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.64
Pogon Szczecin41%fair 2.46 · @3.14
2.81Expected goals
1.38Widzew Łódź xG
1.43Pogon Szczecin xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–28%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Widzew Łódź 1.4 – 1.4 Pogon Szczecin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogon Szczecin to win✗
41%
2.46
3.14 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.58
Draw no bet
Pogon Szczecin (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Widzew Łódź +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.37
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.10
First team to score
Pogon Szczecin to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogon Szczecin / FT Pogon Szczecin✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.78
–
Recent results
Widzew Łódź – last 6
LDDLDD
31 Oct
@ GKS Katowice
2–3
L
23 Oct
vs Gornik Zabrze
1–1
D
16 Oct
vs Wisla Krakow
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Piast Gliwice
1–2
L
18 Sep
vs Wieczysta Kraków
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Legia Warszawa
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pogon Szczecin – last 6
LWWWDW
2 Nov
@ Raków Częstochowa
1–3
L
24 Oct
vs Radomiak Radom
4–3
W
17 Oct
@ GKS Katowice
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Korona Kielce
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Udinese
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Piast Gliwice
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Widzew Łódź and Pogon Szczecin.
What is the prediction for Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin?
On our numbers Widzew Łódź have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pogon Szczecin 41%.
How many goals will there be in Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our predicted score is Widzew Łódź 1–1 Pogon Szczecin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin?
Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
