Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓65% · fair 1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.03
Pelister vs Osogovo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Osogovo travel to face Pelister on Saturday 17 October in the Second League – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Pelister are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 11 matches; Osogovo are 13th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pelister, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Belasica, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Osogovo, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gorno Lisiče, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Pelister, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.5 for Osogovo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pelister 1.9 xG, Osogovo 0.4 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 35%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pelister 74%, draw 20%, Osogovo 6%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 2.30 – longer than our fair 1.96, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pelister 1–0 Osogovo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pelister74%fair 1.35 · @1.18
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @5.50
Osogovo6%fair 16.34 · @12.00
2.24Expected goals
1.87Pelister xG
0.37Osogovo xG
35%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–019%
3–012%
0–011%
1–17%
2–17%
From our goals model: Pelister 1.9 – 0.4 Osogovo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pelister to win✓
74%
1.35
1.18
Double chance
Pelister or draw✓
94%
1.07
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
–
Draw no bet
Pelister (draw no bet)✓
92%
1.08
–
Asian handicap
Pelister -1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
2.30 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Pelister to score first✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Pelister ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pelister / FT Pelister✗
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.03
–
Recent results
Pelister – last 6
DWWWWW
11 Oct
@ Belasica
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Ohrid
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Shkupi 1927
4–0
W
6 Sep
vs FK Rabotnicki
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ Studenicani
6–1
W
29 Aug
@ Makedonija GjP
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Osogovo – last 6
DDLLLD
10 Oct
vs Gorno Lisiče
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Teteks
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Kozuv Gevgelija
0–1
L
9 Sep
vs Belasica
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Detonit Plachkovica
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Novaci
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pelister and Osogovo.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.
Who will win Pelister vs Osogovo?
On our numbers Pelister have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Osogovo 6%.
How many goals will there be in Pelister vs Osogovo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pelister vs Osogovo?
Our predicted score is Pelister 1–0 Osogovo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Pelister vs Osogovo?
Pelister vs Osogovo (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
