Value bet: Veles to win @ 3.26 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNovosibirsk to win ✓40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.19
Novosibirsk vs Veles: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:00 WAT, Sunday 21 June: Novosibirsk v Veles in the Second League A Fall Season Gold, played at Stadion Spartak.
Current form
Novosibirsk, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Veles, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Veles, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Novosibirsk, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Novosibirsk, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Veles.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Jun 2026) it ended Veles 4–1 Novosibirsk. The last 3 head-to-heads: Novosibirsk 1 win, Veles 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novosibirsk 1.3 xG, Veles 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novosibirsk 40%, draw 27%, Veles 33%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Veles to win @3.26 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novosibirsk 1–1 Veles. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novosibirsk40%fair 2.47 · @2.05
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.14
Veles33%fair 3.05 · @3.26
2.42Expected goals
1.26Novosibirsk xG
1.16Veles xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Novosibirsk 1.3 – 1.2 Veles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Novosibirsk vs Veles?
On our numbers Novosibirsk have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Veles 33%.
How many goals will there be in Novosibirsk vs Veles?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novosibirsk vs Veles?
Our predicted score is Novosibirsk 1–1 Veles, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Novosibirsk vs Veles?
Novosibirsk vs Veles (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
