Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFK Crvena Zvezda to win ✓75% · @1.11
Double chanceFK Crvena Zvezda or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.83
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Crvena Zvezda welcome Novi Pazar to Stadion Rajko Mit for a Super Liga fixture on Saturday 8 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, FK Crvena Zvezda are 1st, leading the league, on 43 points after 15 matches; Novi Pazar are 8th (lower half) with 19. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FK Crvena Zvezda, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hapoel Beer Sheva, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Novi Pazar, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to OFK Beograd, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FK Crvena Zvezda, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Novi Pazar.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Mar 2026) it ended Novi Pazar 0–2 FK Crvena Zvezda.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Crvena Zvezda 2.5 xG, Novi Pazar 0.8 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Crvena Zvezda 75%, draw 16%, Novi Pazar 9%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Crvena Zvezda 3–0 Novi Pazar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Crvena Zvezda75%fair 1.34 · @1.11
Draw16%fair 6.10 · @7.70
Novi Pazar9%fair 11.39 · @16.50
3.29Expected goals
2.49FK Crvena Zvezda xG
0.80Novi Pazar xG
55%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–010%
1–09%
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: FK Crvena Zvezda 2.5 – 0.8 Novi Pazar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FK Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar?
On our numbers FK Crvena Zvezda have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Novi Pazar 9%.
How many goals will there be in FK Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar?
Our predicted score is FK Crvena Zvezda 3–0 Novi Pazar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is FK Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar?
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar (Super Liga) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rajko Mit.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
