Radnik Surdulica v Novi Pazar Prediction & Expected Goals (23 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultRadnik Surdulica to win ✓55% · @1.91

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.49

Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Radnik Surdulica welcome Novi Pazar to EFBET Stadion for a Super Liga fixture on Sunday 23 August (18:00 WAT). In the table, Radnik Surdulica are 6th, upper half, on 23 points after 15 matches; Novi Pazar are 8th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Radnik Surdulica, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Macva, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Novi Pazar, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Vojvodina, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Radnik Surdulica 2–0 Novi Pazar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Radnik Surdulica 1.3 xG, Novi Pazar 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Radnik Surdulica 55%, draw 22%, Novi Pazar 24%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Radnik Surdulica to win (55%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.83, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Radnik Surdulica 1–0 Novi Pazar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Radnik Surdulica55%fair 1.83 · @1.91

Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.10

Novi Pazar24%fair 4.25 · @3.70

2.00Expected goals

1.30Radnik Surdulica xG

0.70Novi Pazar xG

53%Both score

32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%

0–014%

1–112%

2–011%

0–19%

2–18%

From our goals model: Radnik Surdulica 1.3 – 0.7 Novi Pazar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Radnik Surdulica to win ✓	55%	1.83	1.91
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.28	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	53%	1.88	1.80
Draw no bet	Radnik Surdulica (draw no bet) ✓	70%	1.43	–
Asian handicap	Novi Pazar +1 (Asian handicap)	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	59%	1.68	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	86%	1.17	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	95%	1.06	–
First team to score	Radnik Surdulica to score first ✓	56%	1.78	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	49%	2.04	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Radnik Surdulica / FT Radnik Surdulica ✓	30%	3.35	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.49	–

Radnik Surdulica – last 6

WLDDLL

15 Aug	vs Macva	2–1	W
9 Aug	@ Vojvodina	1–2	L
25 Jul	@ OFK Beograd	0–0	D
19 Jul	vs Mladost Lucani	1–1	D
30 Jun	@ Levski Sofia	0–5	L
23 May	@ FK Partizan	0–5	L

0.7Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Novi Pazar – last 6

WLLDWD

17 Aug	vs Vojvodina	2–0	W
8 Aug	@ FK Crvena Zvezda	0–2	L
1 Aug	vs OFK Beograd	1–4	L
26 Jul	@ Mladost Lucani	0–0	D
18 Jul	vs Radnicki 1923	1–0	W
4 Jul	vs Akhmat	1–1	D

0.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Crvena Zvezda	15	14	1	0	+32	43
2	Vojvodina	15	10	2	3	+17	32
3	Železničar Pančevo	14	9	2	3	+12	29
4	IMT Novi Beograd	15	6	5	4	+6	23
5	Radnicki 1923	15	7	2	6	+3	23
6	Radnik Surdulica	15	6	5	4	+2	23
7	Cukaricki	15	6	4	5	0	22
8	Novi Pazar	15	5	4	6	-1	19
9	Mladost Lucani	15	4	6	5	-9	18
10	FK Partizan	15	5	2	8	-1	17
11	Macva	15	3	4	8	-13	13
12	OFK Beograd	15	2	5	8	-12	11
13	Radnicki NIS	14	2	2	10	-15	8
14	Zemun	15	1	4	10	-21	7

Team

Pts

+32

+17

+12

-1

-9

-1

-13

-12

-15

-21

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar?

Our pick is Radnik Surdulica to win with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar?

On our numbers Radnik Surdulica have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Novi Pazar 24%.

How many goals will there be in Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar?

Our predicted score is Radnik Surdulica 1–0 Novi Pazar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar?

Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar (Super Liga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at EFBET Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Radnik Surdulica v Novi Pazar: numbers & prediction