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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FK Partizan v Novi Pazar: numbers & prediction

Super Liga · Serbia · Stadion Partizana
1–0
FT
FK Partizan 65%Draw 22%Novi Pazar 13% Expected goals 2.12 – 0.88
87%
Betarazi pick

FK Partizan or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: FK Partizan to win @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFK Partizan to win ✓65% · @1.70
Double chanceFK Partizan or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FK Partizan welcome Novi Pazar to Stadion Partizana for a Super Liga fixture on Sunday 11 October (16:00 WAT). In the table, FK Partizan are 10th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Novi Pazar are 8th (lower half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

FK Partizan, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Radnik Surdulica, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Novi Pazar, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Zemun, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Apr 2026) it ended Novi Pazar 2–3 FK Partizan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FK Partizan 2.1 xG, Novi Pazar 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FK Partizan 65%, draw 22%, Novi Pazar 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: FK Partizan or draw (87%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: FK Partizan to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 65%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FK Partizan or draw (87%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Partizan 2–0 Novi Pazar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FK Partizan65%fair 1.55 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.80
Novi Pazar13%fair 7.60 · @3.90
3.00Expected goals
2.12FK Partizan xG
0.88Novi Pazar xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: FK Partizan 2.1 – 0.9 Novi Pazar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Partizan to win ✓65%1.551.70 ▲
Double chanceFK Partizan or draw ✓87%1.151.22 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.44
Draw no betFK Partizan (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapFK Partizan -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreFK Partizan to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultFK Partizan ahead at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Partizan / FT FK Partizan ✗43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

FK Partizan – last 6

DLLWWL
19 Sep@ Radnik Surdulica4–4D
13 Sepvs Vojvodina2–3L
6 Sep@ FK Crvena Zvezda1–2L
31 Augvs OFK Beograd3–1W
27 Augvs Getafe2–1W
23 Aug@ Mladost Lucani1–3L
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Novi Pazar – last 6

DDWDLW
19 Sepvs Zemun2–2D
12 Sep@ Cukaricki1–1D
4 Sepvs Železničar Pančevo2–0W
29 Augvs Macva1–1D
23 Aug@ Radnik Surdulica0–1L
17 Augvs Vojvodina2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Apr 2026Novi Pazar v FK Partizan2–3
FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar head-to-head page →

Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda151410+3243
2Vojvodina151023+1732
3Železničar Pančevo14923+1229
4IMT Novi Beograd15654+623
5Radnicki 192315726+323
6Radnik Surdulica15654+223
7Cukaricki15645022
8Novi Pazar15546-119
9Mladost Lucani15465-918
10FK Partizan15528-117
11Macva15348-1313
12OFK Beograd15258-1211
13Radnicki NIS142210-158
14Zemun151410-217

More Super Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar?

Our pick is FK Partizan or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar?

On our numbers FK Partizan have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Novi Pazar 13%.

How many goals will there be in FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar?

Our predicted score is FK Partizan 2–0 Novi Pazar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar?

FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar (Super Liga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Partizana.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.