Macva 16%Draw 23%OFK Beograd 61%Expected goals 0.86 – 1.91
84%
Betarazi pick
OFK Beograd or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: OFK Beograd to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOFK Beograd to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceOFK Beograd or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Macva vs OFK Beograd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Macva v OFK Beograd in the Super Liga. In the table, Macva are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 15 matches; OFK Beograd are 12th (in the drop zone) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Macva, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cukaricki, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
OFK Beograd, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mladost Lucani, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Macva 0.9 xG, OFK Beograd 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Macva 16%, draw 23%, OFK Beograd 61%.
Lower-risk option: OFK Beograd or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: OFK Beograd to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was OFK Beograd or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macva 0–1 OFK Beograd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Macva16%fair 6.38 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.20
OFK Beograd61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
2.77Expected goals
0.86Macva xG
1.91OFK Beograd xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Macva 0.9 – 1.9 OFK Beograd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
OFK Beograd to win✗
61%
1.63
1.95 ▲
Double chance
OFK Beograd or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.83
Draw no bet
OFK Beograd (draw no bet)
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
OFK Beograd -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
OFK Beograd to score first
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
OFK Beograd ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT OFK Beograd / FT OFK Beograd✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Macva – last 6
DLLDDW
10 Oct
@ Cukaricki
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Mladost Lucani
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Železničar Pančevo
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Radnicki 1923
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Novi Pazar
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Radnicki NIS
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
OFK Beograd – last 6
DLLDLW
12 Oct
@ Mladost Lucani
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Radnicki 1923
3–5
L
13 Sep
@ Radnicki NIS
1–3
L
7 Sep
vs IMT Novi Beograd
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ FK Partizan
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Zemun
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Macva and OFK Beograd.
Our pick is OFK Beograd or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Macva vs OFK Beograd?
On our numbers Macva have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and OFK Beograd 61%.
How many goals will there be in Macva vs OFK Beograd?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macva vs OFK Beograd?
Our predicted score is Macva 0–1 OFK Beograd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Macva vs OFK Beograd?
Macva vs OFK Beograd (Super Liga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
