Novi Pazar 58%Draw 25%Mladost Lucani 17%Expected goals 1.62 – 0.76
83%
Betarazi pick
Novi Pazar or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: Novi Pazar to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNovi Pazar to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceNovi Pazar or draw ✓83% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.67
Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mladost Lucani travel to face Novi Pazar on Saturday 7 November in the Super Liga, with Gradski Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Novi Pazar are 8th, lower half, on 19 points after 15 matches; Mladost Lucani are 9th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Novi Pazar, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Radnicki 1923, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Mladost Lucani, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Radnik Surdulica, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Mladost Lucani 0–0 Novi Pazar. The last 2 head-to-heads: Novi Pazar 1 win, Mladost Lucani 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novi Pazar 1.6 xG, Mladost Lucani 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novi Pazar 58%, draw 25%, Mladost Lucani 17%.
Lower-risk option: Novi Pazar or draw (83%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Novi Pazar to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Novi Pazar or draw (83%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novi Pazar 1–0 Mladost Lucani. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novi Pazar58%fair 1.74 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.40
Mladost Lucani17%fair 5.87 · @3.60
2.38Expected goals
1.62Novi Pazar xG
0.76Mladost Lucani xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Novi Pazar 1.6 – 0.8 Mladost Lucani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani?
Our pick is Novi Pazar or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani?
On our numbers Novi Pazar have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mladost Lucani 17%.
How many goals will there be in Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani?
Our predicted score is Novi Pazar 1–0 Mladost Lucani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani?
Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani (Super Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
