Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 67% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceMachida Zelvia or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.91
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✓6% · fair 16.97
Machida Zelvia vs Urawa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Machida Zelvia welcome Urawa to National Olympic Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Sunday 23 August (11:30 WAT). In the table, Machida Zelvia are 3rd, among the top four, on 37 points after 18 matches; Urawa are 6th (lower half) with 25. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Machida Zelvia, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over JEF United Chiba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Urawa, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Sanfrecce Hiroshima, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Machida Zelvia, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.3 for Urawa.
Head to head
When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended Machida Zelvia 1–0 Urawa. The last 2 head-to-heads: Machida Zelvia 2 wins, Urawa 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Machida Zelvia 3.5 xG, Urawa 2.0 xG – a total near 5.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 91% and GG at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Machida Zelvia 62%, draw 24%, Urawa 14%.
Lower-risk option: Machida Zelvia or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 67%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Machida Zelvia or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Machida Zelvia 3–1 Urawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Machida Zelvia62%fair 1.60 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.25
Urawa14%fair 7.20 · @4.33
5.50Expected goals
3.53Machida Zelvia xG
1.97Urawa xG
67%Both score
91%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–16%
3–26%
4–15%
4–25%
2–15%
2–25%
From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 3.5 – 2.0 Urawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Urawa?
Our pick is Machida Zelvia or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Urawa?
On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Urawa 14%.
How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs Urawa?
We expect about 5.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs Urawa?
Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 3–1 Urawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.5 goals in total.
When is Machida Zelvia vs Urawa?
Machida Zelvia vs Urawa (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at National Olympic Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
