Value bet: Tranmere to win @ 2.92 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTranmere to win ✗40% · @2.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.91
Tranmere vs Rochdale: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 1 August: Tranmere v Rochdale in the League Cup, played at Prenton Park.
Current form
Tranmere, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Blackpool, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Rochdale, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to FC Halifax Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tranmere 1.6 xG, Rochdale 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tranmere 40%, draw 24%, Rochdale 36%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Tranmere to win @2.92 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tranmere 1–1 Rochdale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tranmere40%fair 2.51 · @2.92
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.35
Rochdale36%fair 2.78 · @2.24
2.82Expected goals
1.57Tranmere xG
1.25Rochdale xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–17%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Tranmere 1.6 – 1.3 Rochdale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tranmere to win✗
40%
2.51
2.92 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Tranmere (draw no bet)
52%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Rochdale +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
First team to score
Tranmere to score first
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tranmere / FT Tranmere✗
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.91
–
Recent results
Tranmere – last 6
WWLLLL
18 Jul
vs Blackpool
2–0
W
21 Apr
@ Cheltenham
3–1
W
6 Apr
vs Colchester
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Shrewsbury
0–1
L
17 Mar
vs Harrogate Town
0–3
L
3 Mar
@ Newport County
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rochdale – last 6
LDDLDD
28 Jul
vs FC Halifax Town
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Farnham Town
2–2
D
19 Jul
vs Al-Rayyan SC
3–3
D
14 Jul
@ United of Manchester
0–2
L
10 May
@ Boreham Wood
2–2
D
6 Apr
@ Hartlepool
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tranmere and Rochdale.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Tranmere vs Rochdale?
On our numbers Tranmere have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rochdale 36%.
How many goals will there be in Tranmere vs Rochdale?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tranmere vs Rochdale?
Our predicted score is Tranmere 1–1 Rochdale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tranmere vs Rochdale?
Tranmere vs Rochdale (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Prenton Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
