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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Napredak v Metalac GM: numbers & prediction

Prva Liga · Serbia
2–1
FT
Napredak 59%Draw 21%Metalac GM 20% Expected goals 1.54 – 0.73
60%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultNapredak to win ✓59% · @1.57
Double chanceNapredak or draw ✓80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.27

Napredak vs Metalac GM: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Metalac GM travel to face Napredak on Friday 14 August in the Prva Liga – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Napredak are 7th, upper half, on 25 points after 17 matches; Metalac GM are 12th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Napredak, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over OFK Bor 1919, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Metalac GM, last 4: LWDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Metalac GM, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Napredak.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Napredak 1.5 xG, Metalac GM 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 42%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Napredak 59%, draw 21%, Metalac GM 20%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Napredak 1–0 Metalac GM. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Napredak59%fair 1.69 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.40
Metalac GM20%fair 5.00 · @5.50
2.27Expected goals
1.54Napredak xG
0.73Metalac GM xG
42%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Napredak 1.5 – 0.7 Metalac GM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNapredak to win ✓59%1.691.57
Double chanceNapredak or draw ✓80%1.25–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗58%1.72–
Draw no betNapredak (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapMetalac GM +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.661.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreNapredak to score first ✗61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Napredak / FT Napredak ✗34%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.27–

Recent results

Napredak – last 6

WWLLLL
8 Aug@ OFK Bor 19191–0W
2 Augvs Grafičar1–0W
11 Julvs Radnik Bijeljina0–1L
24 May@ Mladost Lucani0–1L
27 Apr@ Javor0–4L
23 Aprvs IMT Novi Beograd0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Metalac GM – last 4

LWDW
8 Augvs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV2–4L
1 Aug@ Jedinstvo Ub1–0W
4 Apr@ Jedinstvo Putevi1–1D
31 Marvs Takovo1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Napredak and Metalac GM.

Napredak vs Metalac GM head-to-head page →

Prva Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Borac Cacak171133+1036
2Javor17971+2034
3TSC Backa Topola17971+1834
4OFK Vršac17935+530
5Dubočica17755026
6Semendrija 192417746025
7Napredak17746-125
8FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV17656-323
9Naftagas17575+622
10FK Vozdovac17557020
11Loznica17485-420
12Metalac GM17548-619
13Jedinstvo Ub17539-618
14Grafičar175210-517
15Teleoptik17359-914
16OFK Bor 1919172213-258

More Prva Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Napredak vs Metalac GM?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Napredak vs Metalac GM?

On our numbers Napredak have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Metalac GM 20%.

How many goals will there be in Napredak vs Metalac GM?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Napredak vs Metalac GM?

Our predicted score is Napredak 1–0 Metalac GM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Napredak vs Metalac GM?

Napredak vs Metalac GM (Prva Liga) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.