Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Grafičar to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGrafičar to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceGrafičar or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗63% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.80
Grafičar vs Loznica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Grafičar welcome Loznica to Stadion Rajko Mit for a Prva Liga fixture on Wednesday 19 August (16:00 WAT). In the table, Grafičar are 14th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 17 matches; Loznica are 11th (lower half) with 20. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Grafičar, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FK Vozdovac, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Loznica, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Borac Cacak, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grafičar 1.4 xG, Loznica 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grafičar 61%, draw 24%, Loznica 15%.
Lower-risk option: Grafičar or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Price worth noting: Grafičar to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Grafičar or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grafičar 1–0 Loznica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grafičar61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Loznica15%fair 6.83 · @3.75
1.91Expected goals
1.41Grafičar xG
0.50Loznica xG
37%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
0–015%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
2–17%
From our goals model: Grafičar 1.4 – 0.5 Loznica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grafičar to win✗
61%
1.64
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Grafičar or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
–
Draw no bet
Grafičar (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Loznica +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Grafičar to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grafičar / FT Grafičar✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.80
–
Recent results
Grafičar – last 6
WLLLWW
14 Aug
@ FK Vozdovac
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs Semendrija 1924
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Napredak
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Borac Cacak
0–3
L
24 May
vs FK Trayal
3–0
W
17 May
@ Kabel Novi Sad
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Loznica – last 6
LDDDWD
14 Aug
vs Borac Cacak
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ Dubočica
0–0
D
31 Jul
vs Naftagas
0–0
D
11 Jul
vs Macva
0–0
D
3 May
@ Zemun
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ OFK Vršac
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grafičar and Loznica.
Our pick is Grafičar or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Grafičar vs Loznica?
On our numbers Grafičar have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Loznica 15%.
How many goals will there be in Grafičar vs Loznica?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grafičar vs Loznica?
Our predicted score is Grafičar 1–0 Loznica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Grafičar vs Loznica?
Grafičar vs Loznica (Prva Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rajko Mit.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
