Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Grafičar to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGrafičar to win ✗40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.39
Naftagas vs Grafičar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Grafičar travel to face Naftagas on Monday 24 August in the Prva Liga, with Gradski stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Naftagas are 9th, lower half, on 22 points after 17 matches; Grafičar are 14th (in the drop zone) with 17.
Current form
Naftagas, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Borac Cacak, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Grafičar, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Loznica, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naftagas 1.1 xG, Grafičar 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naftagas 37%, draw 23%, Grafičar 40%.
Price worth noting: Grafičar to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naftagas 1–1 Grafičar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naftagas37%fair 2.72 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Grafičar40%fair 2.51 · @2.90
2.29Expected goals
1.11Naftagas xG
1.17Grafičar xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Naftagas 1.1 – 1.2 Grafičar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grafičar to win✗
40%
2.51
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Grafičar (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Naftagas +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Grafičar to score first✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grafičar / FT Grafičar✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.39
–
Recent results
Naftagas – last 6
LLLDWW
19 Aug
@ Borac Cacak
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Dubočica
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ OFK Vršac
0–1
L
31 Jul
@ Loznica
0–0
D
14 Jul
@ Macva
2–1
W
15 Apr
vs Mladost Bački Jarak
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Grafičar – last 6
DWLLLW
19 Aug
vs Loznica
2–2
D
14 Aug
@ FK Vozdovac
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs Semendrija 1924
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Napredak
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Borac Cacak
0–3
L
24 May
vs FK Trayal
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naftagas and Grafičar.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Naftagas vs Grafičar?
On our numbers Naftagas have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Grafičar 40%.
How many goals will there be in Naftagas vs Grafičar?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naftagas vs Grafičar?
Our predicted score is Naftagas 1–1 Grafičar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Naftagas vs Grafičar?
Naftagas vs Grafičar (Prva Liga) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
