Value bet: TSC Backa Topola to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNapredak to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.00
Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 23 August the Prva Liga brings Napredak against TSC Backa Topola. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Napredak are 7th, upper half, on 25 points after 17 matches; TSC Backa Topola are 3rd (among the top four) with 34.
Current form
Napredak, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Teleoptik, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
TSC Backa Topola, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended TSC Backa Topola 4–1 Napredak. The last 2 head-to-heads: Napredak 0 wins, TSC Backa Topola 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Napredak 1.2 xG, TSC Backa Topola 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Napredak 39%, draw 23%, TSC Backa Topola 38%.
Price worth noting: TSC Backa Topola to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Napredak 1–1 TSC Backa Topola. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Napredak39%fair 2.56 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
TSC Backa Topola38%fair 2.66 · @2.90
2.39Expected goals
1.21Napredak xG
1.18TSC Backa Topola xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Napredak 1.2 – 1.2 TSC Backa Topola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola?
On our numbers Napredak have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and TSC Backa Topola 38%.
How many goals will there be in Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola?
Our predicted score is Napredak 1–1 TSC Backa Topola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola?
Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola (Prva Liga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
