Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Loznica to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLoznica to win ✓39% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.47
Metalac GM vs Loznica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Metalac GM welcome Loznica to Stadion FK Metalac for a Prva Liga fixture on Saturday 29 August (16:00 WAT). In the table, Metalac GM are 12th, lower half, on 19 points after 17 matches; Loznica are 11th (lower half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Metalac GM, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FK Vozdovac, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Loznica, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with OFK Bor 1919, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Metalac GM 1.0 xG, Loznica 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Metalac GM 37%, draw 24%, Loznica 39%.
Price worth noting: Loznica to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metalac GM 1–1 Loznica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Metalac GM37%fair 2.72 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.88
Loznica39%fair 2.58 · @2.88
2.06Expected goals
1.01Metalac GM xG
1.05Loznica xG
45%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–013%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Metalac GM 1.0 – 1.0 Loznica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Loznica to win✓
39%
2.58
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Loznica (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Metalac GM +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Loznica to score first
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.47
–
Recent results
Metalac GM – last 6
LDLLWD
23 Aug
@ FK Vozdovac
0–1
L
19 Aug
vs Semendrija 1924
0–0
D
14 Aug
@ Napredak
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2–4
L
1 Aug
@ Jedinstvo Ub
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ Jedinstvo Putevi
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Loznica – last 6
DDLDDD
23 Aug
vs OFK Bor 1919
0–0
D
19 Aug
@ Grafičar
2–2
D
14 Aug
vs Borac Cacak
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ Dubočica
0–0
D
31 Jul
vs Naftagas
0–0
D
11 Jul
vs Macva
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metalac GM and Loznica.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Metalac GM vs Loznica?
On our numbers Metalac GM have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Loznica 39%.
How many goals will there be in Metalac GM vs Loznica?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metalac GM vs Loznica?
Our predicted score is Metalac GM 1–1 Loznica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Metalac GM vs Loznica?
Metalac GM vs Loznica (Prva Liga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion FK Metalac.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
