Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: TSC Backa Topola to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTSC Backa Topola to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceTSC Backa Topola or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.22
Naftagas vs TSC Backa Topola: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 16 September the Prva Liga brings Naftagas against TSC Backa Topola at Gradski stadion. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Naftagas are 9th, lower half, on 22 points after 17 matches; TSC Backa Topola are 3rd (among the top four) with 34. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Naftagas, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Teleoptik, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
TSC Backa Topola, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Loznica, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Momentum favours TSC Backa Topola, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Naftagas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naftagas 0.9 xG, TSC Backa Topola 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naftagas 21%, draw 21%, TSC Backa Topola 57%.
Lower-risk option: TSC Backa Topola or draw (79%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: TSC Backa Topola to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was TSC Backa Topola or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naftagas 0–1 TSC Backa Topola. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naftagas21%fair 4.75 · @3.30
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
TSC Backa Topola57%fair 1.74 · @1.91
2.66Expected goals
0.92Naftagas xG
1.73TSC Backa Topola xG
46%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Naftagas 0.9 – 1.7 TSC Backa Topola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
TSC Backa Topola to win✗
57%
1.74
1.91 ▲
Double chance
TSC Backa Topola or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
TSC Backa Topola (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Naftagas +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
TSC Backa Topola to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT TSC Backa Topola / FT TSC Backa Topola✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.22
–
Recent results
Naftagas – last 6
DDLWLL
10 Sep
@ Teleoptik
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Metalac GM
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ OFK Bor 1919
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs Grafičar
2–1
W
19 Aug
@ Borac Cacak
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Dubočica
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
TSC Backa Topola – last 6
WWDWDW
12 Sep
vs Loznica
4–0
W
7 Sep
@ FK Vozdovac
3–2
W
30 Aug
vs Semendrija 1924
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Napredak
2–1
W
19 Aug
vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ Jedinstvo Ub
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naftagas and TSC Backa Topola.
What is the prediction for Naftagas vs TSC Backa Topola?
Our pick is TSC Backa Topola or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Naftagas vs TSC Backa Topola?
On our numbers Naftagas have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and TSC Backa Topola 57%.
How many goals will there be in Naftagas vs TSC Backa Topola?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naftagas vs TSC Backa Topola?
Our predicted score is Naftagas 0–1 TSC Backa Topola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Naftagas vs TSC Backa Topola?
Naftagas vs TSC Backa Topola (Prva Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
