Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Naftagas to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNaftagas to win ✓63% · @1.83
Double chanceNaftagas or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Naftagas vs Jedinstvo Ub: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Monday 28 September: Naftagas v Jedinstvo Ub in the Prva Liga, played at Gradski stadion. In the table, Naftagas are 9th, lower half, on 22 points after 17 matches; Jedinstvo Ub are 13th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Naftagas, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Javor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Jedinstvo Ub, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Loznica, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naftagas 1.9 xG, Jedinstvo Ub 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naftagas 63%, draw 24%, Jedinstvo Ub 14%.
Lower-risk option: Naftagas or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Naftagas to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Naftagas or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naftagas 1–0 Jedinstvo Ub. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naftagas63%fair 1.60 · @1.83
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.30
Jedinstvo Ub14%fair 7.35 · @3.70
2.70Expected goals
1.91Naftagas xG
0.79Jedinstvo Ub xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Naftagas 1.9 – 0.8 Jedinstvo Ub expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naftagas to win✓
63%
1.60
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Naftagas or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Draw no bet
Naftagas (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Naftagas -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Naftagas to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Naftagas ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naftagas / FT Naftagas✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Naftagas – last 6
LDDDLW
21 Sep
@ Javor
2–4
L
16 Sep
vs TSC Backa Topola
1–1
D
10 Sep
@ Teleoptik
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Metalac GM
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ OFK Bor 1919
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs Grafičar
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jedinstvo Ub – last 6
LLWLDL
21 Sep
vs Loznica
2–3
L
16 Sep
@ FK Vozdovac
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Semendrija 1924
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Napredak
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs OFK Vršac
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naftagas and Jedinstvo Ub.
What is the prediction for Naftagas vs Jedinstvo Ub?
Our pick is Naftagas or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Naftagas vs Jedinstvo Ub?
On our numbers Naftagas have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Jedinstvo Ub 14%.
How many goals will there be in Naftagas vs Jedinstvo Ub?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naftagas vs Jedinstvo Ub?
Our predicted score is Naftagas 1–0 Jedinstvo Ub, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Naftagas vs Jedinstvo Ub?
Naftagas vs Jedinstvo Ub (Prva Liga) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
