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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Napredak v Dubočica: numbers & prediction

Prva Liga · Serbia
1–0
FT
Napredak 57%Draw 24%Dubočica 19% Expected goals 1.59 – 0.78
57%
Betarazi pick

Napredak to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultNapredak to win ✓57% · @1.70
Double chanceNapredak or draw ✓81% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.71

Napredak vs Dubočica: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 17 October the Prva Liga brings Napredak against Dubočica. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Napredak are 7th, upper half, on 25 points after 17 matches; Dubočica are 5th (upper half) with 26. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Napredak, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Naftagas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Dubočica, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Dubočica, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Napredak.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Napredak 1.6 xG, Dubočica 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Napredak 57%, draw 24%, Dubočica 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Napredak or draw (81%) at 1.14.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Napredak to win (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Napredak 1–0 Dubočica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Napredak57%fair 1.74 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.40
Dubočica19%fair 5.35 · @4.33
2.37Expected goals
1.59Napredak xG
0.78Dubočica xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Napredak 1.6 – 0.8 Dubočica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNapredak to win ✓57%1.741.70
Double chanceNapredak or draw ✓81%1.231.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.83–
Draw no betNapredak (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapDubočica +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.771.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreNapredak to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Napredak / FT Napredak ✗35%2.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15%6.71–

Recent results

Napredak – last 6

DWDLLL
11 Oct@ Naftagas0–0D
5 Octvs Loznica3–0W
29 Sep@ FK Vozdovac0–0D
21 Sepvs Semendrija 19241–4L
16 Sepvs OFK Vršac1–2L
11 Sep@ FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Dubočica – last 6

WDDDWL
11 Octvs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV2–1W
4 Oct@ Jedinstvo Ub0–0D
28 Sepvs Javor1–1D
21 Sep@ TSC Backa Topola0–0D
16 Sepvs Teleoptik2–0W
11 Sep@ Metalac GM0–5L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Napredak and Dubočica.

Napredak vs Dubočica head-to-head page →

Prva Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Borac Cacak171133+1036
2Javor17971+2034
3TSC Backa Topola17971+1834
4OFK Vršac17935+530
5Dubočica17755026
6Semendrija 192417746025
7Napredak17746-125
8FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV17656-323
9Naftagas17575+622
10FK Vozdovac17557020
11Loznica17485-420
12Metalac GM17548-619
13Jedinstvo Ub17539-618
14Grafičar175210-517
15Teleoptik17359-914
16OFK Bor 1919172213-258

More Prva Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Napredak vs Dubočica?

Our pick is Napredak to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Napredak vs Dubočica?

On our numbers Napredak have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dubočica 19%.

How many goals will there be in Napredak vs Dubočica?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Napredak vs Dubočica?

Our predicted score is Napredak 1–0 Dubočica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Napredak vs Dubočica?

Napredak vs Dubočica (Prva Liga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.