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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Ryukyu v Kitakyushu: numbers & prediction

J3 League · Japan · Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium
3–0
FT
FC Ryukyu 44%Draw 21%Kitakyushu 35% Expected goals 1.50 – 1.31
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Ryukyu to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27

FC Ryukyu vs Kitakyushu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 9 September the J3 League brings FC Ryukyu against Kitakyushu at Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, FC Ryukyu are 11th, lower half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Kitakyushu are 13th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

FC Ryukyu, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kagoshima United, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Kitakyushu, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Ehime FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended FC Ryukyu 0–2 Kitakyushu. The last 2 head-to-heads: FC Ryukyu 0 wins, Kitakyushu 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Ryukyu 1.5 xG, Kitakyushu 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Ryukyu 44%, draw 21%, Kitakyushu 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Ryukyu 1–1 Kitakyushu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Ryukyu44%fair 2.29 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.40
Kitakyushu35%fair 2.85 · @3.00
2.81Expected goals
1.50FC Ryukyu xG
1.31Kitakyushu xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: FC Ryukyu 1.5 – 1.3 Kitakyushu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Ryukyu to win ✓44%2.292.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.65
Draw no betFC Ryukyu (draw no bet) ✓55%1.80–
Asian handicapKitakyushu +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreFC Ryukyu to score first ✓50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Ryukyu / FT FC Ryukyu ✗25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.27–

Recent results

FC Ryukyu – last 6

LLWDLW
5 Sep@ Kagoshima United1–2L
2 Sepvs Yokohama FC2–3L
29 Augvs Sagamihara2–1W
22 Aug@ Osaka2–2D
15 Aug@ Renofa Yamaguchi0–1L
31 May@ Imabari2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Kitakyushu – last 6

LWDDDD
5 Sep@ Ehime FC2–4L
2 Sepvs Iwaki1–0W
30 Augvs Matsumoto Yamaga1–1D
22 Aug@ Tochigi SC2–2D
19 Augvs Okinawa SV1–1D
15 Augvs Kamatamare Sanuki0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Apr 2026FC Ryukyu v Kitakyushu0–2
29 Mar 2026Kitakyushu v FC Ryukyu1–0
FC Ryukyu vs Kitakyushu head-to-head page →

J3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nara Club161024+1232
2FC Gifu161015+1431
3Sagamihara16943+1131
4Kagoshima United16943+1031
5Renofa Yamaguchi16934+930
6Osaka16853+1129
7Ehime FC16925+629
8Roasso Kumamoto16664+624
9Kanazawa16727+723
10Parceiro Nagano16727+123
11FC Ryukyu16727023
12Tochigi SC16565-121
13Kitakyushu16547-319
14Fukushima United16538-218
15Matsumoto Yamaga16457-317
16Biwako Shiga16529-917
17Gainare Tottori16439-1515
18Kamatamare Sanuki164210-1014
19Thespakusatsu Gunma164111-1813
20Kochi United162311-269

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Ryukyu vs Kitakyushu?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win FC Ryukyu vs Kitakyushu?

On our numbers FC Ryukyu have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kitakyushu 35%.

How many goals will there be in FC Ryukyu vs Kitakyushu?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Ryukyu vs Kitakyushu?

Our predicted score is FC Ryukyu 1–1 Kitakyushu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is FC Ryukyu vs Kitakyushu?

FC Ryukyu vs Kitakyushu (J3 League) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.