AF Elbasani 56%Draw 27%Bate Borisov 17%Expected goals 1.42 – 0.71
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultAF Elbasani to win ✗56% · @1.53
Double chanceAF Elbasani or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.95
AF Elbasani vs Bate Borisov: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bate Borisov travel to face AF Elbasani on Tuesday 7 July in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Elbasan Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Current form
AF Elbasani, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vllaznia Shkodër, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Bate Borisov, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Gomel, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AF Elbasani, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Bate Borisov.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AF Elbasani 1.4 xG, Bate Borisov 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AF Elbasani 56%, draw 27%, Bate Borisov 17%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: AF Elbasani 1–0 Bate Borisov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AF Elbasani56%fair 1.78 · @1.53
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.60
Bate Borisov17%fair 6.03 · @6.00
2.14Expected goals
1.42AF Elbasani xG
0.71Bate Borisov xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
1–112%
2–012%
0–012%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: AF Elbasani 1.4 – 0.7 Bate Borisov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AF Elbasani to win✗
56%
1.78
1.53
Double chance
AF Elbasani or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.65
Draw no bet
AF Elbasani (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Bate Borisov +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
AF Elbasani to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AF Elbasani / FT AF Elbasani✗
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.95
–
Recent results
AF Elbasani – last 6
WWLLLW
31 May
@ Vllaznia Shkodër
2–1
W
24 May
vs Dinamo Tirana
3–0
W
17 May
vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0–4
L
10 May
vs Tirana
1–3
L
6 May
@ Bylis
1–2
L
27 Apr
vs Vllaznia Shkodër
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bate Borisov – last 6
LLLWDD
2 Jul
vs FC Gomel
0–1
L
27 Jun
@ Torpedo Zhodino
0–3
L
21 Jun
vs Arsenal
2–3
L
17 Jun
@ Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
4–1
W
12 Jun
@ Belshina
1–1
D
31 May
vs FC Dnepr Mogilev
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AF Elbasani and Bate Borisov.
What is the prediction for AF Elbasani vs Bate Borisov?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AF Elbasani vs Bate Borisov?
On our numbers AF Elbasani have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bate Borisov 17%.
How many goals will there be in AF Elbasani vs Bate Borisov?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AF Elbasani vs Bate Borisov?
Our predicted score is AF Elbasani 1–0 Bate Borisov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is AF Elbasani vs Bate Borisov?
AF Elbasani vs Bate Borisov (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Tuesday 7 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Elbasan Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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