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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

East Kilbride v Kelty Hearts: numbers & prediction

East Kilbride 64%Draw 17%Kelty Hearts 20% Expected goals 2.49 – 1.16
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: East Kilbride to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultEast Kilbride to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70

East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 27 June the Friendlies Clubs brings East Kilbride against Kelty Hearts. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Kelty Hearts, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gala Fairydean Rovers, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give East Kilbride 2.5 xG, Kelty Hearts 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – East Kilbride 64%, draw 17%, Kelty Hearts 20%.
  • Price worth noting: East Kilbride to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: East Kilbride 2–1 Kelty Hearts. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

East Kilbride64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
Draw17%fair 6.00 · @4.00
Kelty Hearts20%fair 5.05 · @3.25
3.65Expected goals
2.49East Kilbride xG
1.16Kelty Hearts xG
55%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–06%

From our goals model: East Kilbride 2.5 – 1.2 Kelty Hearts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

East KilbrideKelty Hearts
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+11%-19%
Goals conceded vs average-8%+17%
Our expected goals here3.221.23

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEast Kilbride to win ✓64%1.571.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.201.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.80–
Draw no betEast Kilbride (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapEast Kilbride -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.501.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗51%1.98–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
First team to scoreEast Kilbride to score first ✓67%1.50–
Half-time resultEast Kilbride ahead at half-time ✓50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT East Kilbride / FT East Kilbride ✓44%2.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.70–

Recent results

East Kilbride – last 2

WW
21 Febvs Dumbarton3–1W
17 Feb@ Elgin City6–1W
4.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Kelty Hearts – last 3

LDD
20 Jun@ Gala Fairydean Rovers1–2L
3 Mar@ Montrose1–1D
21 Feb@ Cove Rangers1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between East Kilbride and Kelty Hearts.

East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts?

On our numbers East Kilbride have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Kelty Hearts 20%.

How many goals will there be in East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts?

Our predicted score is East Kilbride 2–1 Kelty Hearts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts?

East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.