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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Macva v Novi Pazar: numbers & prediction

Macva

DDWLW
2–1
FT
Macva 38%Draw 27%Novi Pazar 35% Expected goals 1.14 – 1.16
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.90 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.90Odds
2

Value bet: Novi Pazar to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMacva to win ✓38% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · fair 1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.79

Macva vs Novi Pazar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 1 July the Friendlies Clubs brings Macva against Novi Pazar. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT.

Current form

Macva, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Petrovac, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Novi Pazar, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Železničar Pančevo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Macva, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Novi Pazar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Macva 1.1 xG, Novi Pazar 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Macva 38%, draw 27%, Novi Pazar 35%.
  • Price worth noting: Novi Pazar to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.90 – longer than our fair 1.83, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macva 1–1 Novi Pazar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Macva38%fair 2.66 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.10
Novi Pazar35%fair 2.84 · @3.40
2.31Expected goals
1.14Macva xG
1.16Novi Pazar xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Macva 1.1 – 1.2 Novi Pazar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

MacvaNovi Pazar
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average-16%-5%
Goals conceded vs average-17%-1%
Our expected goals here1.071.19

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMacva to win ✓38%2.662.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.38–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.92–
Draw no betMacva (draw no bet) ✓52%1.94–
Asian handicapMacva +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreNovi Pazar to score first45%2.20–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Novi Pazar / FT Novi Pazar ✗21%4.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%8.79–

Recent results

Macva – last 6

DDWLWD
27 Junvs Petrovac0–0D
20 Junvs Zemun1–1D
27 Aprvs OFK Vršac3–0W
22 Apr@ Zemun0–2L
5 Aprvs Stepojevac Vaga2–0W
13 Mar@ Loznica0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Novi Pazar – last 6

DLLDWL
17 Mayvs Železničar Pančevo2–2D
22 Apr@ Radnik Surdulica0–2L
9 Aprvs FK Partizan2–3L
15 Marvs Cukaricki1–1D
9 Mar@ Mladost Lucani2–0W
5 Marvs FK Crvena Zvezda0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Macva and Novi Pazar.

Macva vs Novi Pazar head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Macva vs Novi Pazar?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.

Who will win Macva vs Novi Pazar?

On our numbers Macva have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Novi Pazar 35%.

How many goals will there be in Macva vs Novi Pazar?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Macva vs Novi Pazar?

Our predicted score is Macva 1–1 Novi Pazar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Macva vs Novi Pazar?

Macva vs Novi Pazar (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 1 July 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.