Value bet: Novi Pazar to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMacva to win ✓38% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · fair 1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.79
Macva vs Novi Pazar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 1 July the Friendlies Clubs brings Macva against Novi Pazar. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT.
Current form
Macva, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Petrovac, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Novi Pazar, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Železničar Pančevo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Macva, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Novi Pazar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Macva 1.1 xG, Novi Pazar 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Macva 38%, draw 27%, Novi Pazar 35%.
Price worth noting: Novi Pazar to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.90 – longer than our fair 1.83, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macva 1–1 Novi Pazar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Macva38%fair 2.66 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.10
Novi Pazar35%fair 2.84 · @3.40
2.31Expected goals
1.14Macva xG
1.16Novi Pazar xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Macva 1.1 – 1.2 Novi Pazar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Macva
Novi Pazar
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-16%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.07
1.19
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Macva to win✓
38%
2.66
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Macva (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Macva +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Novi Pazar to score first
45%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novi Pazar / FT Novi Pazar✗
21%
4.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.79
–
Recent results
Macva – last 6
DDWLWD
27 Jun
vs Petrovac
0–0
D
20 Jun
vs Zemun
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs OFK Vršac
3–0
W
22 Apr
@ Zemun
0–2
L
5 Apr
vs Stepojevac Vaga
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ Loznica
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Novi Pazar – last 6
DLLDWL
17 May
vs Železničar Pančevo
2–2
D
22 Apr
@ Radnik Surdulica
0–2
L
9 Apr
vs FK Partizan
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Cukaricki
1–1
D
9 Mar
@ Mladost Lucani
2–0
W
5 Mar
vs FK Crvena Zvezda
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Macva and Novi Pazar.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Macva vs Novi Pazar?
On our numbers Macva have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Novi Pazar 35%.
How many goals will there be in Macva vs Novi Pazar?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macva vs Novi Pazar?
Our predicted score is Macva 1–1 Novi Pazar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Macva vs Novi Pazar?
Macva vs Novi Pazar (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 1 July 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.