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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rodina Moskva v Akron: numbers & prediction

0–5
FT

Akron

LLWLL
Rodina Moskva 45%Draw 23%Akron 31% Expected goals 1.58 – 1.28
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Akron to win @ 3.56 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRodina Moskva to win ✗45% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.91

Rodina Moskva vs Akron: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Thursday 2 July: Rodina Moskva v Akron in the Friendlies Clubs.

Current form

Rodina Moskva, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lokomotiv, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Akron, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Baltika, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Rodina Moskva, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Akron.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rodina Moskva 1.6 xG, Akron 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rodina Moskva 45%, draw 23%, Akron 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.74.
  • Price worth noting: Akron to win @3.56 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rodina Moskva 1–1 Akron. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rodina Moskva45%fair 2.21 · @1.97
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.52
Akron31%fair 3.18 · @3.56
2.86Expected goals
1.58Rodina Moskva xG
1.28Akron xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Rodina Moskva 1.6 – 1.3 Akron expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Rodina MoskvaAkron
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average-8%-6%
Goals conceded vs average+17%-12%
Our expected goals here1.941.55

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRodina Moskva to win ✗45%2.211.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.27
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.74
Draw no betRodina Moskva (draw no bet) ✗59%1.70–
Asian handicapAkron +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.92
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.441.27
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.181.06
First team to scoreRodina Moskva to score first ✗52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rodina Moskva / FT Rodina Moskva ✗27%3.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.91–

Recent results

Rodina Moskva – last 6

DWLWWW
27 Jun@ Lokomotiv0–0D
8 Mayvs Chelyabinsk2–0W
22 Apr@ Rotor Volgograd0–2L
13 Apr@ Fakel3–1W
5 Apr@ FK Sokol Saratov3–1W
29 Marvs Ural3–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Akron – last 6

LLWLLW
26 Junvs Baltika0–1L
23 Mayvs Rotor Volgograd0–1L
20 May@ Rotor Volgograd2–0W
17 May@ Krylia Sovetov1–4L
11 Mayvs FC Rostov1–3L
27 Apr@ Baltika1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rodina Moskva and Akron.

Rodina Moskva vs Akron head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva vs Akron?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Rodina Moskva vs Akron?

On our numbers Rodina Moskva have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Akron 31%.

How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva vs Akron?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva vs Akron?

Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva 1–1 Akron, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Rodina Moskva vs Akron?

Rodina Moskva vs Akron (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Thursday 2 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.