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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ludogorets v Septemvri Sofia: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Ludogorets

DWWDD
1–0
FT

Septemvri Sofia

WLWWW
Ludogorets 60%Draw 21%Septemvri Sofia 19% Expected goals 2.31 – 1.39
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultLudogorets to win ✓60% · @1.36
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓81% · fair 1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.91

Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 10 July the Friendlies Clubs brings Ludogorets against Septemvri Sofia. Kick-off: 08:30 WAT.

Current form

Ludogorets, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC Botosani, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Septemvri Sofia, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hebar 1918, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Septemvri Sofia, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Ludogorets.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ludogorets 2.3 xG, Septemvri Sofia 1.4 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ludogorets 60%, draw 21%, Septemvri Sofia 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ludogorets 2–1 Septemvri Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ludogorets60%fair 1.65 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @4.20
Septemvri Sofia19%fair 5.34 · @7.00
3.70Expected goals
2.31Ludogorets xG
1.39Septemvri Sofia xG
64%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%

From our goals model: Ludogorets 2.3 – 1.4 Septemvri Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

LudogoretsSeptemvri Sofia
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+44%+2%
Goals conceded vs average-14%-17%
Our expected goals here2.061.42

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLudogorets to win ✓60%1.651.36
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓81%1.23–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.561.75 ▲
Draw no betLudogorets (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapSeptemvri Sofia +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗51%1.98–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
First team to scoreLudogorets to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultLudogorets ahead at half-time ✗45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets ✗38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.91–

Recent results

Ludogorets – last 6

DWWDDL
4 Julvs FC Botosani2–2D
26 Junvs Etar Veliko Tarnovo7–4W
25 Mayvs CSKA Sofia1–0W
13 Mayvs Levski Sofia1–1D
29 Apr@ CSKA Sofia0–0D
25 Aprvs CSKA 19481–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Septemvri Sofia – last 6

WLWWWD
7 Julvs Hebar 19182–1W
4 Julvs Slavia Sofia2–3L
1 Julvs Vihren2–0W
27 Junvs Marek3–0W
28 Mayvs Yantra 20192–1W
22 Mayvs Dobrudzha1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ludogorets and Septemvri Sofia.

Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Colorado Rapids1 FC Juarez1 141%2.28X24%3.85235%2.68 1.8–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.40 ✓
FT Zlin2 Dukla Banská Bystrica1 152%1.73X21%3.85227%3.60 1.6–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.55 ✓
FT FC Nordsjaelland0 Hradec Králové3 132%2.25X24%3.35244%2.85 1.3–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.30 ✓
FT Plzen3 BSC Young Boys5 141%2.05X21%4.00238%2.70 1.7–1.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.33 ✓
FT SV Sandhausen3 1. FC Kaiserslautern5 127%4.20X22%4.10252%1.57 1.8–2.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.44 ✓
FT Legia Warszawa1 AS Trencin0 162%1.36X21%4.75217%6.00 2.0–1.1xG 1Legia Warszawa to win 62%@1.36 ✓
FT Austria Lustenau1 FC Aarau0 151%1.80X24%3.80225%3.40 1.6–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 54%@1.73 ✗
FT Sturm Graz II2 Beltinci3 127%2.80X20%4.75253%1.83 1.6–2.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia?

On our numbers Ludogorets have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Septemvri Sofia 19%.

How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia?

Our predicted score is Ludogorets 2–1 Septemvri Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia?

Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.