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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lokomotiv v CSKA Moscow: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Lokomotiv

WWWDL
1–0
FT

CSKA Moscow

LDDWW
Lokomotiv 45%Draw 23%CSKA Moscow 31% Expected goals 1.83 – 1.28
62%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.45Odds
1

Value bet: Lokomotiv to win @ 2.51 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLokomotiv to win ✓45% · @2.51
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45

Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lokomotiv welcome CSKA Moscow for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Tuesday 14 July (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Lokomotiv, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Spartak Moscow, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

CSKA Moscow, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Orenburg, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lokomotiv, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for CSKA Moscow.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended CSKA Moscow 3–1 Lokomotiv.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv 1.8 xG, CSKA Moscow 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv 45%, draw 23%, CSKA Moscow 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Lokomotiv to win @2.51 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv 1–1 CSKA Moscow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lokomotiv45%fair 2.21 · @2.51
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.64
CSKA Moscow31%fair 3.20 · @2.51
3.11Expected goals
1.83Lokomotiv xG
1.28CSKA Moscow xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%

From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.8 – 1.3 CSKA Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

LokomotivCSKA Moscow
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+3%-5%
Goals conceded vs average-34%+3%
Our expected goals here1.831.01

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLokomotiv to win ✓45%2.212.51 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.26
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.601.50
Draw no betLokomotiv (draw no bet) ✓59%1.69–
Asian handicapCSKA Moscow +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.241.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.691.61
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.601.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.261.15
First team to scoreLokomotiv to score first ✓56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.61–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lokomotiv / FT Lokomotiv ✗31%3.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.45–

Recent results

Lokomotiv – last 6

WWWDLD
11 Julvs Spartak Moscow2–0W
11 Julvs Akron3–0W
3 Julvs Spartak Kostroma2–0W
27 Junvs Rodina Moskva0–0D
17 May@ CSKA Moscow1–3L
1 Mayvs Dynamo1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

CSKA Moscow – last 6

LDDWWL
11 Jul@ FC Orenburg0–2L
4 Julvs Arsenal Tula1–1D
30 Junvs Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1D
17 Mayvs Lokomotiv3–1W
11 May@ Nizhny Novgorod2–1W
6 May@ Spartak Moscow0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026CSKA Moscow v Lokomotiv3–1
Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Legia Warszawa3 Radomiak Radom1 152%1.67X23%3.50225%4.33 1.9–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 58%@1.73 ✓
FT Dordrecht4 Borussia Dortmund II1 147%1.95X23%3.80231%2.90 2.0–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.44 ✓
FT Dukla Banská Bystrica0 Hapoel Tel Aviv0 123%3.60X23%4.33255%1.65 1.0–1.7xG X2Hapoel Tel Aviv or draw 77%@1.22 ✓
FT SV Wehen2 Fagiano Okayama0 130%3.20X22%4.10247%1.80 1.1–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 52%@1.53 ✗
FT Korona Kielce0 Stal Rzeszów0 156%1.36X23%4.50221%6.25 1.8–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 60%@1.53 ✗
Cancelled Slovan Liberec Puskas Academy 146%2.70X22%3.75232%2.10 1.7–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 56%@1.65
FT Spartak Trnava3 Beşiktaş2 123%5.75X23%4.00254%1.44 1.3–1.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.50 ✓
FT Seraing United0 MVV0 151%1.80X23%3.75226%3.40 2.0–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.40 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?

On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CSKA Moscow 31%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?

Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–1 CSKA Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?

Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Tuesday 14 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.