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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Montpellier v Le Puy Foot: numbers & prediction

5–2
FT
Montpellier 61%Draw 24%Le Puy Foot 15% Expected goals 1.83 – 0.82
61%
Betarazi pick

Montpellier to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultMontpellier to win ✓61% · @1.50
Double chanceMontpellier or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 13.83

Montpellier vs Le Puy Foot: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Le Puy Foot travel to face Montpellier on Friday 17 July in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Montpellier, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Aubagne, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Le Puy Foot, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dijon, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Montpellier, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Le Puy Foot.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Montpellier 1.8 xG, Le Puy Foot 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Montpellier 61%, draw 24%, Le Puy Foot 15%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Montpellier to win (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montpellier 1–0 Le Puy Foot. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Montpellier61%fair 1.65 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.50
Le Puy Foot15%fair 6.52 · @6.00
2.64Expected goals
1.83Montpellier xG
0.82Le Puy Foot xG
44%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Montpellier 1.8 – 0.8 Le Puy Foot expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

MontpellierLe Puy Foot
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+33%-1%
Goals conceded vs average+5%+10%
Our expected goals here1.890.85

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMontpellier to win ✓61%1.651.50
Double chanceMontpellier or draw ✓85%1.181.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.80–
Draw no betMontpellier (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapMontpellier -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.941.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scoreMontpellier to score first64%1.56–
Half-time resultMontpellier ahead at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Montpellier / FT Montpellier ✓39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7%13.83–

Recent results

Montpellier – last 6

WWWDDD
11 Julvs Aubagne3–2W
24 Apr@ Amiens2–0W
17 Aprvs Grenoble2–1W
10 Apr@ Annecy0–0D
4 Aprvs Estac Troyes2–2D
20 Mar@ PAU0–0D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Le Puy Foot – last 6

DLDDLW
11 Julvs Dijon1–1D
1 May@ Fleury 910–4L
24 Aprvs Versailles2–2D
17 Apr@ Quevilly0–0D
10 Aprvs Aubagne1–2L
3 Apr@ Concarneau3–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Montpellier and Le Puy Foot.

Montpellier vs Le Puy Foot head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Montpellier vs Le Puy Foot?

Our pick is Montpellier to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Montpellier vs Le Puy Foot?

On our numbers Montpellier have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Le Puy Foot 15%.

How many goals will there be in Montpellier vs Le Puy Foot?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Montpellier vs Le Puy Foot?

Our predicted score is Montpellier 1–0 Le Puy Foot, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Montpellier vs Le Puy Foot?

Montpellier vs Le Puy Foot (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.