Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Aarau to win ✗52% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.69
Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Étoile Carouge welcome FC Aarau to Stade de la Fontenette for a Challenge League fixture on Friday 24 July (19:15 WAT). In the table, Étoile Carouge are 7th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; FC Aarau are 6th (lower half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Étoile Carouge, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to BSC Young Boys, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
FC Aarau, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Union Berlin, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Aarau, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Étoile Carouge.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Apr 2026) it ended FC Aarau 1–3 Étoile Carouge. The last 2 head-to-heads: Étoile Carouge 1 win, FC Aarau 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Étoile Carouge 1.3 xG, FC Aarau 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Étoile Carouge 26%, draw 22%, FC Aarau 52%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Étoile Carouge 1–1 FC Aarau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Étoile Carouge26%fair 3.89 · @3.95
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @4.10
FC Aarau52%fair 1.92 · @1.67
3.02Expected goals
1.31Étoile Carouge xG
1.71FC Aarau xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Étoile Carouge 1.3 – 1.7 FC Aarau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau?
On our numbers Étoile Carouge have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Aarau 52%.
How many goals will there be in Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau?
Our predicted score is Étoile Carouge 1–1 FC Aarau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau?
Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Fontenette.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
