Yverdon Sport 60%Draw 22%Étoile Carouge 19%Expected goals 2.17 – 1.03
60%
Betarazi pick
Yverdon Sport to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultYverdon Sport to win ✗60% · @1.73
Double chanceYverdon Sport or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Friday 31 July: Yverdon Sport v Étoile Carouge in the Challenge League, played at Stade Municipal. In the table, Yverdon Sport are 3rd, among the top four, on 23 points after 13 matches; Étoile Carouge are 7th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Yverdon Sport, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC Winterthur, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Étoile Carouge, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FC Aarau, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Yverdon Sport 3–5 Étoile Carouge. The last 2 head-to-heads: Yverdon Sport 0 wins, Étoile Carouge 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 6.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yverdon Sport 2.2 xG, Étoile Carouge 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yverdon Sport 60%, draw 22%, Étoile Carouge 19%.
Lower-risk option: Yverdon Sport or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Yverdon Sport to win (60%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yverdon Sport 2–1 Étoile Carouge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yverdon Sport60%fair 1.67 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.70
Étoile Carouge19%fair 5.39 · @3.95
3.20Expected goals
2.17Yverdon Sport xG
1.03Étoile Carouge xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Yverdon Sport 2.2 – 1.0 Étoile Carouge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge?
Our pick is Yverdon Sport to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge?
On our numbers Yverdon Sport have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Étoile Carouge 19%.
How many goals will there be in Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge?
Our predicted score is Yverdon Sport 2–1 Étoile Carouge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge?
Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Municipal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
