FC Aarau 38%Draw 23%Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 39%Expected goals 1.29 – 1.60
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
2
Value bet: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStade Lausanne-Ouchy to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.89
FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 1 August: FC Aarau v Stade Lausanne-Ouchy in the Challenge League. In the table, FC Aarau are 6th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FC Aarau, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Étoile Carouge, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Stade Nyonnais, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for FC Aarau.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended FC Aarau 3–0 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. The last 2 head-to-heads: FC Aarau 1 win, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Aarau 1.3 xG, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 61%, GG 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Aarau 38%, draw 23%, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 39%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.35.
Price worth noting: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Aarau 1–1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Aarau38%fair 2.62 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.80
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy39%fair 2.56 · @2.90
2.89Expected goals
1.29FC Aarau xG
1.60Stade Lausanne-Ouchy xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: FC Aarau 1.3 – 1.6 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win✗
39%
2.56
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.35
Draw no bet
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (draw no bet)
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
FC Aarau +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.77 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.33
First team to score
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy / FT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy✗
What is the prediction for FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
On our numbers FC Aarau have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 39%.
How many goals will there be in FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Our predicted score is FC Aarau 1–1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
FC Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (Challenge League) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
