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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Aarau v Stade Nyonnais: numbers & prediction

Challenge League · Switzerland
2–1
FT
FC Aarau 64%Draw 20%Stade Nyonnais 16% Expected goals 2.15 – 1.00
64%
Betarazi pick

FC Aarau to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Aarau to win ✓64% · @1.40
Double chanceFC Aarau or draw ✓84% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.10

FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:15 WAT, Friday 7 August: FC Aarau v Stade Nyonnais in the Challenge League. In the table, FC Aarau are 6th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Stade Nyonnais are 10th (in the drop zone) with 8.

Current form

FC Aarau, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Stade Nyonnais, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Rapperswil, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Aarau, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Stade Nyonnais.

Head to head

When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended FC Aarau 5–1 Stade Nyonnais. The last 2 head-to-heads: FC Aarau 1 win, Stade Nyonnais 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Aarau 2.2 xG, Stade Nyonnais 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Aarau 64%, draw 20%, Stade Nyonnais 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Aarau to win (64%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Aarau 2–1 Stade Nyonnais. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Aarau64%fair 1.56 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @4.75
Stade Nyonnais16%fair 6.19 · @5.50
3.15Expected goals
2.15FC Aarau xG
1.00Stade Nyonnais xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: FC Aarau 2.2 – 1.0 Stade Nyonnais expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Aarau to win ✓64%1.561.40
Double chanceFC Aarau or draw ✓84%1.191.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.57
Draw no betFC Aarau (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapFC Aarau -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.581.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.701.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.321.28
First team to scoreFC Aarau to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultFC Aarau ahead at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Aarau / FT FC Aarau ✓41%2.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.10–

Recent results

FC Aarau – last 6

DLWLLD
1 Augvs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1–1D
24 Jul@ Étoile Carouge0–3L
18 Julvs Union Berlin2–1W
10 Jul@ Austria Lustenau0–1L
30 Junvs St. Gallen II1–3L
21 May@ Grasshoppers1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Stade Nyonnais – last 6

LLDDLL
31 Julvs Rapperswil1–2L
24 Jul@ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0–2L
11 Jul@ Bulle4–4D
4 Jul@ Servette FC1–1D
11 Mayvs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1–3L
8 May@ FC Aarau1–5L
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 May 2026FC Aarau v Stade Nyonnais5–1
20 Feb 2026Stade Nyonnais v FC Aarau1–1
FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy13940+2231
2FC Winterthur13742+1525
3Yverdon Sport13652+923
4SC Kriens13544+319
5Neuchatel Xamax FC13526-417
6FC Aarau13436-515
7Étoile Carouge13355-514
8FC WIL 190013355-614
9Rapperswil13328-811
10Stade Nyonnais13229-218

More Challenge League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

Our pick is FC Aarau to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

On our numbers FC Aarau have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Stade Nyonnais 16%.

How many goals will there be in FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

Our predicted score is FC Aarau 2–1 Stade Nyonnais, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.