FC Winterthur 41%Draw 21%Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 38%Expected goals 1.54 – 1.45
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Winterthur to win ✗41% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57
FC Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 28 August the Challenge League brings FC Winterthur against Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, FC Winterthur are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 13 matches; Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are 1st (leading the league) with 31.
Current form
FC Winterthur, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Rapperswil, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Neuchatel Xamax FC, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for FC Winterthur.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Winterthur 1.5 xG, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Winterthur 41%, draw 21%, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 38%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Winterthur 1–1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Winterthur41%fair 2.41 · @2.45
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.50
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy38%fair 2.66 · @2.45
2.99Expected goals
1.54FC Winterthur xG
1.45Stade Lausanne-Ouchy xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: FC Winterthur 1.5 – 1.4 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Winterthur to win✗
41%
2.41
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.40
Draw no bet
FC Winterthur (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
First team to score
FC Winterthur to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Winterthur / FT FC Winterthur✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
FC Winterthur – last 6
WWWLDD
21 Aug
@ Rapperswil
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Zürich City
3–1
W
7 Aug
vs FC WIL 1900
5–0
W
31 Jul
@ SC Kriens
0–2
L
24 Jul
vs Yverdon Sport
2–2
D
17 Jul
vs Union Berlin
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy – last 6
WWWDWW
21 Aug
@ Neuchatel Xamax FC
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Italien
8–1
W
7 Aug
vs Rapperswil
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ FC Aarau
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs Stade Nyonnais
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ FC Zurich
2–1
W
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Winterthur and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy.
What is the prediction for FC Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win FC Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
On our numbers FC Winterthur have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 38%.
How many goals will there be in FC Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Our predicted score is FC Winterthur 1–1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FC Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
FC Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
