Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.77Odds
Picks by market
ResultStade Lausanne-Ouchy to win ✓60% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy welcome Étoile Carouge to Stade Olympique de la Pontaise for a Challenge League fixture on Tuesday 1 September (18:30 WAT). In the table, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 13 matches; Étoile Carouge are 7th (lower half) with 14. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Winterthur, away. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Étoile Carouge, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rapperswil, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Étoile Carouge.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended Étoile Carouge 1–1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1.8 xG, Étoile Carouge 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 60%, draw 19%, Étoile Carouge 21%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.77 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1–0 Étoile Carouge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy60%fair 1.66 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @4.00
Étoile Carouge21%fair 4.82 · @4.75
2.72Expected goals
1.80Stade Lausanne-Ouchy xG
0.91Étoile Carouge xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1.8 – 0.9 Étoile Carouge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
1.42
Draw no bet
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Étoile Carouge +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.77 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.33
First team to score
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy / FT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy✓
What is the prediction for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge?
On our numbers Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Étoile Carouge 21%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge?
Our predicted score is Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1–0 Étoile Carouge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge?
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge (Challenge League) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique de la Pontaise.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
