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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Aarau v Rapperswil: numbers & prediction

Challenge League · Switzerland
3–2
FT
FC Aarau 61%Draw 22%Rapperswil 18% Expected goals 2.21 – 1.13
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Aarau to win ✓61% · @1.60
Double chanceFC Aarau or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23

FC Aarau vs Rapperswil: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:30 WAT, Friday 4 September: FC Aarau v Rapperswil in the Challenge League. In the table, FC Aarau are 6th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Rapperswil are 9th (in the drop zone) with 11.

Current form

FC Aarau, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC WIL 1900, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Rapperswil, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with SC Kriens, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended FC Aarau 5–3 Rapperswil.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Aarau 2.2 xG, Rapperswil 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Aarau 61%, draw 22%, Rapperswil 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: FC Aarau or draw (82%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Aarau 2–1 Rapperswil. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Aarau61%fair 1.64 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @4.10
Rapperswil18%fair 5.69 · @4.40
3.34Expected goals
2.21FC Aarau xG
1.13Rapperswil xG
63%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: FC Aarau 2.2 – 1.1 Rapperswil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Aarau to win ✓61%1.641.60
Double chanceFC Aarau or draw ✓82%1.211.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.40
Draw no betFC Aarau (draw no bet) ✓78%1.29–
Asian handicapFC Aarau -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.521.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗55%1.821.77
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗73%1.371.33
First team to scoreFC Aarau to score first ✗64%1.57–
Half-time resultFC Aarau ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Aarau / FT FC Aarau ✗40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.23–

Recent results

FC Aarau – last 6

DWLDWD
31 Aug@ FC WIL 19002–2D
28 Augvs Neuchatel Xamax FC2–1W
23 Aug@ Yverdon Sport1–2L
16 Aug@ Biel-Bienne2–2D
7 Augvs Stade Nyonnais2–1W
1 Augvs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Rapperswil – last 6

DLLWLW
1 Sepvs SC Kriens1–1D
28 Aug@ Étoile Carouge1–2L
21 Augvs FC Winterthur0–2L
15 Aug@ YF Juventus6–1W
7 Aug@ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0–2L
31 Jul@ Stade Nyonnais2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Feb 2026FC Aarau v Rapperswil5–3
FC Aarau vs Rapperswil head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy13940+2231
2FC Winterthur13742+1525
3Yverdon Sport13652+923
4SC Kriens13544+319
5Neuchatel Xamax FC13526-417
6FC Aarau13436-515
7Étoile Carouge13355-514
8FC WIL 190013355-614
9Rapperswil13328-811
10Stade Nyonnais13229-218

More Challenge League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Aarau vs Rapperswil?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win FC Aarau vs Rapperswil?

On our numbers FC Aarau have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rapperswil 18%.

How many goals will there be in FC Aarau vs Rapperswil?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Aarau vs Rapperswil?

Our predicted score is FC Aarau 2–1 Rapperswil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is FC Aarau vs Rapperswil?

FC Aarau vs Rapperswil (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.