FC Aarau 60%Draw 22%Étoile Carouge 18%Expected goals 1.86 – 0.89
82%
Betarazi pick
FC Aarau or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Aarau to win ✗60% · @1.73
Double chanceFC Aarau or draw ✗82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the Challenge League brings FC Aarau against Étoile Carouge. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, FC Aarau are 6th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Étoile Carouge are 7th (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Aarau, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC Zurich, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Étoile Carouge, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours FC Aarau, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Étoile Carouge.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Jul 2026) it ended Étoile Carouge 3–0 FC Aarau. The last 3 head-to-heads: FC Aarau 1 win, Étoile Carouge 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Aarau 1.9 xG, Étoile Carouge 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Aarau 60%, draw 22%, Étoile Carouge 18%.
Lower-risk option: FC Aarau or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Aarau or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Aarau 1–0 Étoile Carouge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Aarau60%fair 1.66 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.60
Étoile Carouge18%fair 5.71 · @3.90
2.75Expected goals
1.86FC Aarau xG
0.89Étoile Carouge xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: FC Aarau 1.9 – 0.9 Étoile Carouge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?
Our pick is FC Aarau or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?
On our numbers FC Aarau have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Étoile Carouge 18%.
How many goals will there be in FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?
Our predicted score is FC Aarau 1–0 Étoile Carouge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?
FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge (Challenge League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
