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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Neuchatel Xamax FC v FC Aarau: numbers & prediction

Challenge League · Switzerland
1–3
FT
Neuchatel Xamax FC 39%Draw 20%FC Aarau 41% Expected goals 1.52 – 1.57
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Aarau to win ✓41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.73

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Neuchatel Xamax FC welcome FC Aarau for a Challenge League fixture on Friday 30 October (20:15 WAT). In the table, Neuchatel Xamax FC are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; FC Aarau are 6th (lower half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Neuchatel Xamax FC, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

FC Aarau, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Étoile Carouge, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Neuchatel Xamax FC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for FC Aarau.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Aug 2026) it ended FC Aarau 2–1 Neuchatel Xamax FC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Neuchatel Xamax FC 0 wins, FC Aarau 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Neuchatel Xamax FC 1.5 xG, FC Aarau 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Neuchatel Xamax FC 39%, draw 20%, FC Aarau 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Neuchatel Xamax FC 1–1 FC Aarau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Neuchatel Xamax FC39%fair 2.57 · @2.45
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.60
FC Aarau41%fair 2.43 · @2.30
3.09Expected goals
1.52Neuchatel Xamax FC xG
1.57FC Aarau xG
67%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Neuchatel Xamax FC 1.5 – 1.6 FC Aarau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Aarau to win ✓41%2.432.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.491.40
Draw no betFC Aarau (draw no bet) ✓51%1.95–
Asian handicapNeuchatel Xamax FC +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.68–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreFC Aarau to score first ✗48%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Aarau / FT FC Aarau ✗23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.73–

Recent results

Neuchatel Xamax FC – last 6

DWWLWL
23 Oct@ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0–0D
18 Oct@ Langenthal3–2W
9 Octvs FC Winterthur3–0W
18 Sepvs Rapperswil0–3L
11 Sep@ Stade Nyonnais3–1W
4 Sep@ FC Winterthur0–4L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

FC Aarau – last 6

LWLLLD
24 Octvs Étoile Carouge1–2L
18 Octvs FC Zurich2–0W
9 Oct@ Stade Nyonnais1–2L
2 Octvs BSC Young Boys1–2L
18 Sep@ FC Winterthur1–2L
12 Sepvs SC Kriens2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Aug 2026FC Aarau v Neuchatel Xamax FC2–1
1 May 2026Neuchatel Xamax FC v FC Aarau1–3
Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy13940+2231
2FC Winterthur13742+1525
3Yverdon Sport13652+923
4SC Kriens13544+319
5Neuchatel Xamax FC13526-417
6FC Aarau13436-515
7Étoile Carouge13355-514
8FC WIL 190013355-614
9Rapperswil13328-811
10Stade Nyonnais13229-218

More Challenge League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau?

On our numbers Neuchatel Xamax FC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Aarau 41%.

How many goals will there be in Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau?

Our predicted score is Neuchatel Xamax FC 1–1 FC Aarau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau?

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.