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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Winterthur v Étoile Carouge: numbers & prediction

Challenge League · Switzerland
2–2
FT
FC Winterthur 62%Draw 20%Étoile Carouge 18% Expected goals 2.02 – 0.99
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.54 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.54Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Winterthur to win ✗62% · @1.45
Double chanceFC Winterthur or draw ✓82% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.54
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.04

FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Étoile Carouge travel to face FC Winterthur on Saturday 7 November in the Challenge League – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, FC Winterthur are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 13 matches; Étoile Carouge are 7th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

FC Winterthur, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FC WIL 1900, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Étoile Carouge, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with SC Kriens, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours FC Winterthur, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Étoile Carouge.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Sep 2026) it ended Étoile Carouge 0–1 FC Winterthur.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Winterthur 2.0 xG, Étoile Carouge 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Winterthur 62%, draw 20%, Étoile Carouge 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.54.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.54). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Winterthur 2–1 Étoile Carouge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Winterthur62%fair 1.62 · @1.45
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.30
Étoile Carouge18%fair 5.45 · @5.10
3.02Expected goals
2.02FC Winterthur xG
0.99Étoile Carouge xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: FC Winterthur 2.0 – 1.0 Étoile Carouge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Winterthur to win ✗62%1.621.45
Double chanceFC Winterthur or draw ✓82%1.221.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.601.54
Draw no betFC Winterthur (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapFC Winterthur -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.661.63
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.301.24
First team to scoreFC Winterthur to score first64%1.57–
Half-time resultFC Winterthur ahead at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Winterthur / FT FC Winterthur ✗39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.04–

Recent results

FC Winterthur – last 6

WWLLWW
1 Nov@ FC WIL 19003–0W
23 Octvs Stade Nyonnais4–0W
17 Octvs FC Luzern0–1L
9 Oct@ Neuchatel Xamax FC0–3L
3 Octvs FC Basel 18937–3W
18 Sepvs FC Aarau2–1W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Étoile Carouge – last 6

DWLLLL
30 Octvs SC Kriens2–2D
24 Oct@ FC Aarau2–1W
16 Oct@ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0–3L
9 Octvs Yverdon Sport0–2L
18 Sep@ SC Kriens1–4L
11 Sepvs FC Winterthur0–1L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Sep 2026Étoile Carouge v FC Winterthur0–1
FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy13940+2231
2FC Winterthur13742+1525
3Yverdon Sport13652+923
4SC Kriens13544+319
5Neuchatel Xamax FC13526-417
6FC Aarau13436-515
7Étoile Carouge13355-514
8FC WIL 190013355-614
9Rapperswil13328-811
10Stade Nyonnais13229-218

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.54.

Who will win FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge?

On our numbers FC Winterthur have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Étoile Carouge 18%.

How many goals will there be in FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge?

Our predicted score is FC Winterthur 2–1 Étoile Carouge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge?

FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge (Challenge League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.