Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Ashdod to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAshdod to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceAshdod or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Thursday 17 September: Ashdod v Hapoel Rishon LeZion in the Liga Leumit, played at Yud-Alef Stadium. In the table, Ashdod are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 13 matches; Hapoel Rishon LeZion are 7th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Ashdod, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Hapoel Acre, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Kiryat Yam SC, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Ashdod, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Hapoel Rishon LeZion.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ashdod 1.9 xG, Hapoel Rishon LeZion 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ashdod 60%, draw 22%, Hapoel Rishon LeZion 18%.
Lower-risk option: Ashdod or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Ashdod to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ashdod or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ashdod 1–0 Hapoel Rishon LeZion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ashdod60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Hapoel Rishon LeZion18%fair 5.53 · @3.70
2.80Expected goals
1.88Ashdod xG
0.92Hapoel Rishon LeZion xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Ashdod 1.9 – 0.9 Hapoel Rishon LeZion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ashdod to win✓
60%
1.66
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Ashdod or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Draw no bet
Ashdod (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Ashdod -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Ashdod to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Ashdod ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ashdod / FT Ashdod✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Ashdod – last 6
WWWWLW
14 Sep
@ Hapoel Acre
4–0
W
6 Sep
vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
4–0
W
31 Aug
@ Maccabi Bnei Raina
2–1
W
24 Aug
vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1–0
W
18 Aug
@ Hapoel Afula
0–2
L
18 May
@ Ironi Kiryat Shmona
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hapoel Rishon LeZion – last 6
WWWWLL
10 Sep
vs Kiryat Yam SC
4–2
W
30 Aug
vs Kafr Qasim
2–1
W
24 Aug
@ Maccabi Kiryat Gat
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Kladno
0–2
L
25 May
vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
2–6
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ashdod and Hapoel Rishon LeZion.
What is the prediction for Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
Our pick is Ashdod or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
On our numbers Ashdod have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hapoel Rishon LeZion 18%.
How many goals will there be in Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
Our predicted score is Ashdod 1–0 Hapoel Rishon LeZion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Yud-Alef Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
