Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Hapoel Rishon LeZion to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Rishon LeZion to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chanceHapoel Rishon LeZion or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth travel to face Hapoel Rishon LeZion on Thursday 24 September in the Liga Leumit – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Hapoel Rishon LeZion are 7th, upper half, on 22 points after 13 matches; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth are 11th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Hapoel Rishon LeZion, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Ashdod, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hapoel Acre, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Hapoel Rishon LeZion, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Rishon LeZion 2.0 xG, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Rishon LeZion 62%, draw 21%, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 17%.
Lower-risk option: Hapoel Rishon LeZion or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Hapoel Rishon LeZion to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hapoel Rishon LeZion or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Rishon LeZion 1–0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Rishon LeZion62%fair 1.62 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth17%fair 5.99 · @4.00
2.92Expected goals
1.99Hapoel Rishon LeZion xG
0.93Maccabi Ahi Nazareth xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Hapoel Rishon LeZion 2.0 – 0.9 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Rishon LeZion to win✓
62%
1.62
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Hapoel Rishon LeZion or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.65
Draw no bet
Hapoel Rishon LeZion (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Rishon LeZion -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Hapoel Rishon LeZion to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Hapoel Rishon LeZion ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Rishon LeZion / FT Hapoel Rishon LeZion✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Hapoel Rishon LeZion – last 6
LWWWWL
17 Sep
@ Ashdod
2–3
L
10 Sep
vs Kiryat Yam SC
4–2
W
30 Aug
vs Kafr Qasim
2–1
W
24 Aug
@ Maccabi Kiryat Gat
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Kladno
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth – last 6
WDLWLL
17 Sep
vs Hapoel Acre
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3–3
D
6 Sep
vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
2–1
W
24 Aug
vs Hapoel Afula
0–1
L
18 Aug
@ Hapoel Ra'anana
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Rishon LeZion and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Our pick is Hapoel Rishon LeZion or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
On our numbers Hapoel Rishon LeZion have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 17%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Rishon LeZion 1–0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
