Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Maccabi Herzliya to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMaccabi Herzliya to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceMaccabi Herzliya or draw ✗87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Friday 9 October: Maccabi Herzliya v Maccabi Ahi Nazareth in the Liga Leumit. In the table, Maccabi Herzliya are 14th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 13 matches; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth are 11th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Maccabi Herzliya, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ashdod, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ironi Modi'in, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maccabi Herzliya 1.7 xG, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maccabi Herzliya 61%, draw 25%, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 13%.
Lower-risk option: Maccabi Herzliya or draw (87%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Maccabi Herzliya to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Maccabi Herzliya or draw (87%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maccabi Herzliya 1–0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maccabi Herzliya61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.25
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth13%fair 7.46 · @3.80
2.44Expected goals
1.74Maccabi Herzliya xG
0.70Maccabi Ahi Nazareth xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Maccabi Herzliya 1.7 – 0.7 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maccabi Herzliya to win✗
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Maccabi Herzliya or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Draw no bet
Maccabi Herzliya (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Maccabi Herzliya -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Maccabi Herzliya to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Maccabi Herzliya ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maccabi Herzliya / FT Maccabi Herzliya✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Maccabi Herzliya – last 6
LLDWDL
1 Oct
@ Ashdod
0–1
L
24 Sep
vs Kiryat Yam SC
1–3
L
17 Sep
@ Bnei Yehuda
1–1
D
14 Sep
vs Kafr Qasim
1–0
W
7 Sep
@ Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth – last 6
LLWDLW
1 Oct
vs Ironi Modi'in
1–2
L
24 Sep
@ Hapoel Rishon LeZion
0–1
L
17 Sep
vs Hapoel Acre
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3–3
D
6 Sep
vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maccabi Herzliya and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth.
What is the prediction for Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Our pick is Maccabi Herzliya or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
On our numbers Maccabi Herzliya have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 13%.
How many goals will there be in Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Our predicted score is Maccabi Herzliya 1–0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
