Ashdod 68%Draw 21%Maccabi Kiryat Gat 11%Expected goals 2.06 – 0.72
68%
Betarazi pick
Ashdod to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.33Odds
Picks by market
ResultAshdod to win ✗68% · @1.33
Double chanceAshdod or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ashdod welcome Maccabi Kiryat Gat to Yud-Alef Stadium for a Liga Leumit fixture on Friday 16 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Ashdod are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 13 matches; Maccabi Kiryat Gat are 10th (lower half) with 14. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ashdod, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Hapoel Kfar Saba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Maccabi Kiryat Gat, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kiryat Yam SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ashdod, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.8 for Maccabi Kiryat Gat.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ashdod 2.1 xG, Maccabi Kiryat Gat 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ashdod 68%, draw 21%, Maccabi Kiryat Gat 11%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ashdod to win (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ashdod 2–0 Maccabi Kiryat Gat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ashdod68%fair 1.47 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.50
Maccabi Kiryat Gat11%fair 8.72 · @7.50
2.78Expected goals
2.06Ashdod xG
0.72Maccabi Kiryat Gat xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ashdod 2.1 – 0.7 Maccabi Kiryat Gat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ashdod to win✗
68%
1.47
1.33
Double chance
Ashdod or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.73
Draw no bet
Ashdod (draw no bet)
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Ashdod -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Ashdod to score first✗
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Ashdod ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ashdod / FT Ashdod✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Ashdod – last 6
WWWWWW
12 Oct
@ Hapoel Kfar Saba
4–2
W
1 Oct
vs Maccabi Herzliya
1–0
W
24 Sep
@ Ironi Modi'in
3–1
W
17 Sep
vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion
3–2
W
14 Sep
@ Hapoel Acre
4–0
W
6 Sep
vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
4–0
W
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Maccabi Kiryat Gat – last 6
DLLWLD
9 Oct
vs Kiryat Yam SC
2–2
D
1 Oct
@ Bnei Yehuda
1–2
L
28 Sep
vs Kafr Qasim
0–1
L
17 Sep
@ Hapoel Ra'anana
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ Hapoel Kfar Saba
0–2
L
7 Sep
vs Maccabi Herzliya
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ashdod and Maccabi Kiryat Gat.
What is the prediction for Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
Our pick is Ashdod to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
On our numbers Ashdod have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Maccabi Kiryat Gat 11%.
How many goals will there be in Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
Our predicted score is Ashdod 2–0 Maccabi Kiryat Gat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Yud-Alef Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
