Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Maccabi Kiryat Gat to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMaccabi Kiryat Gat to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceMaccabi Kiryat Gat or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Maccabi Kiryat Gat welcome Maccabi Ahi Nazareth for a Liga Leumit fixture on Friday 23 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Maccabi Kiryat Gat are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth are 11th (lower half) with 14. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Maccabi Kiryat Gat, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ashdod, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Hapoel Kfar Saba, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1.7 xG, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maccabi Kiryat Gat 61%, draw 24%, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 15%.
Lower-risk option: Maccabi Kiryat Gat or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Maccabi Kiryat Gat to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Maccabi Kiryat Gat or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1–0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maccabi Kiryat Gat61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.30
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth15%fair 6.67 · @3.60
2.35Expected goals
1.66Maccabi Kiryat Gat xG
0.69Maccabi Ahi Nazareth xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1.7 – 0.7 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maccabi Kiryat Gat to win✗
61%
1.65
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Maccabi Kiryat Gat or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.67
Draw no bet
Maccabi Kiryat Gat (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Maccabi Kiryat Gat -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Maccabi Kiryat Gat to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maccabi Kiryat Gat / FT Maccabi Kiryat Gat✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.04
–
Recent results
Maccabi Kiryat Gat – last 6
DDLLWL
16 Oct
@ Ashdod
0–0
D
9 Oct
vs Kiryat Yam SC
2–2
D
1 Oct
@ Bnei Yehuda
1–2
L
28 Sep
vs Kafr Qasim
0–1
L
17 Sep
@ Hapoel Ra'anana
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ Hapoel Kfar Saba
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth – last 6
LWLLWD
16 Oct
vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
0–4
L
9 Oct
@ Maccabi Herzliya
2–1
W
1 Oct
vs Ironi Modi'in
1–2
L
24 Sep
@ Hapoel Rishon LeZion
0–1
L
17 Sep
vs Hapoel Acre
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3–3
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maccabi Kiryat Gat and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth.
What is the prediction for Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Our pick is Maccabi Kiryat Gat or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
On our numbers Maccabi Kiryat Gat have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 15%.
How many goals will there be in Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Our predicted score is Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1–0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
