Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBSC Young Boys to win ✓46% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗74% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.92
FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Saturday 1 August: FC Thun v BSC Young Boys in the Super League, played at Stockhorn Arena. In the table, FC Thun are 8th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; BSC Young Boys are 2nd (among the top four) with 28. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FC Thun, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Dinamo Zagreb, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
BSC Young Boys, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over FC Sion, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours BSC Young Boys, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for FC Thun.
Head to head
When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended FC Thun 3–8 BSC Young Boys. The last 2 head-to-heads: FC Thun 1 win, BSC Young Boys 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 7.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Thun 1.9 xG, BSC Young Boys 2.5 xG – a total near 4.4. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 74% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Thun 34%, draw 20%, BSC Young Boys 46%.
GG/NG: GG (74%) at 1.35.
Price worth noting: Over 3.5 goals @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.34, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Thun 1–2 BSC Young Boys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Thun34%fair 2.98 · @2.55
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.90
BSC Young Boys46%fair 2.16 · @2.38
4.43Expected goals
1.93FC Thun xG
2.50BSC Young Boys xG
74%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–27%
2–27%
1–36%
2–36%
1–16%
2–16%
From our goals model: FC Thun 1.9 – 2.5 BSC Young Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?
On our numbers FC Thun have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and BSC Young Boys 46%.
How many goals will there be in FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?
Our predicted score is FC Thun 1–2 BSC Young Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?
FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stockhorn Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
